Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Cagliari hope to continue with their ascendancy when they host Lecce in their next Serie A match. Going into Round 25, the visitors are only above the drop zone by virtue of goal difference, while Cagliari are 12th. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Cagliari shot up in the league standings after a three-game winning run but are coming off a loss. Gli Isolani were beaten 2-0 by AS Roma last time out, denying them the chance to break into the top half for now.
That marked Cagliari’s 10th loss of the season, and they will be gunning for a third straight victory against Lecce.
Cagliari won 2-1 in the reverse meeting, and here Lecce will be looking to stop them from completing a double. Coming into this game, Lecce posted a shock win, beating Udinese 2-1 at home.
Before this win, Lecce had gone without scoring in five of their earlier six matches. One win only in their last nine games is a run that will put the pressure on Lecce.
Away from home, Lecce are winless in six, losing five. Only eight of their total 21 points have come in away matches. Their biggest impediment heading into this game will be a weak attack, having managed just 15 goals.
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Cagliari v Lecce Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 2.9 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.39 | 2.83 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.34 | 2.82 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.34 | 2.78 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Cagliari vs Lecce match is: Cagliari to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/02/2026 between Cagliari and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.35% for a win of Cagliari against Lecce with odds of 2.47 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs Lecce is 29.39% with odds of 2.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Cagliari with odds of 3.7 at Betwinner.
Cagliari - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cagliari Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins | 52.35% | 2.47 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 66.12% | 1.79 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 65% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cagliari | 26.24% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Cagliari vs Lecce Form
Cagliari and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Cagliari and Lecce Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
12 Dec 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
Cagliari vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
5 May 2024 - Serie A
6 Jan 2024 - Serie A
12 Jul 2020 - Serie A
Cagliari against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Ciocci
A. Sherri
DefenderA. Cogoni
J. Rodriguez
A. Dossena
MidfielderO. Raterink
J. Liteta
L. Mazzitelli
P. Mendy
S. Kilicsoy
A. Albarracin
Y. Trepy
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderC. Ndaba
J. Siebert
S. Fofana
N. Kovac
G. Jean
MidfielderA. Sala
N. Konan
O. Ngom
T. Helgason
F. Marchwinski
ForwardN. Stulic
Missing players
M. Folorunsho
ForwardM. Felici
L. Banda
M. Berisha
F. Camarda
Most goals and assists
Cagliari
Lecce
S. Esposito
(7 Goals)
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
S. Esposito
(5 Assists)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
Cagliari - Lecce Key Points
- Lecce have scored the fewest goals in Serie A.
- In six of their last nine matches, Lecce were beaten.
- Lecce failed to score in five of their last seven games.
- Cagliari won their last two matches against Lecce.
- In their last four outings, Cagliari recorded three wins.
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Our Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction
Twice in their last four matches, Cagliari kept clean sheets, and they will be gunning for another one here. After their winning run got interrupted, they will welcome the prospect of taking on a struggling team next up.
Lecce lost the last two matches against Cagliari and have also been struggling in their recent matches. The visitors’ poor streak hasn’t only earned them one win in nine league games, but they also failed to score in six of them. With that, our prediction for Cagliari v Lecce is for Cagliari to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cagliari Lecce
| Cagliari vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins | 2.18 | 2.47 | +13.3% |
| Draw | 3.18 | 2.95 | -7.2% |
| Lecce wins | 4.14 | 3.7 | -10.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cagliari is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.9% and is now 40.5% (-5.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
