Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Cagliari
21/02/2026 14:45
Lazio

Prediction :

 

Lazio wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Cagliari hosts Lazio in the Italian Serie A this Saturday, with the two sides separated by five points in the standings. As both look to return to winning ways, we expect a well-fought-out encounter here. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Cagliari have slumped again after their earlier run of three straight victories. I Sardi are coming off two straight defeats, most recently against struggling Lecce. The 2-0 scoreline was identical to the first one, away to Roma.

A seven-point buffer from the relegation zone is, however, something to be proud of. The hosts will be gunning for more points here to aid in their survival quest.

Lazio are also coming from a loss and looking to recover after winning just once in the last five league matches. This is the run that has left a massive blow on their European ambitions.

The Biancocelesti are nine points below the Serie A top six with 13 matches remaining. Their 2-0 loss to Atalanta last time out marked the fourth time in five league matches that they conceded 2+.

It was also the third time in five Serie A games that they failed to score. While they’ve been shaky, Lazio have also been hard to beat. In their last 10 matches, they’ve only lost three times, and those were against sides in the top seven.

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Cagliari v Lazio Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.55 3 2.35
Melbet
3.58 2.95 2.3
Betwinner
3.58 2.95 2.3
Bet365
3.6 2.9 2.3
Roobet
3.5 2.92 2.28
Check all Cagliari vs Lazio odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Lazio?

Our prediction for the Cagliari vs Lazio match is: Lazio wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Cagliari and Lazio in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.36% for a win of Cagliari against Lazio with odds of 3.72 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs Lazio is 31.33% with odds of 3.1 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Cagliari with odds of 2.38 at 888Starz.

Cagliari - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:

Cagliari Lazio Prediction Probability Odds
Lazio wins 43.31% 2.38 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 63.67% 1.94 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio 23.95% 5.5 at LSbet

Cagliari vs Lazio Form

Cagliari and Lazio's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1
14 Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 -13

Cagliari and Lazio Last Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Lecce

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
4 :  0
Hellas Verona

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

17 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Juventus

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari
W D L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Lecce

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
4 :  0
Hellas Verona

17 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Juventus

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  2
Pisa SC

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma
L W D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
2 :  2
Cagliari

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
Cagliari

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari
Lazio
Lazio Last matches
L D W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese
W D W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

Cagliari vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cagliari

0 %

Draw

0 %

Lazio

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari

3 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Lazio

4 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Cagliari

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
Lazio

2 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Cagliari

5 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  3
Lazio
Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction

Cagliari against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11

Cagliari

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
E. Caprile
32
Ze Pedro
26
Y. Mina
22
A. Dossena
2
M. Palestra
25
Sulemana
8
M. Adopo
4
L. Mazzitelli
33
A. Obert
9
S. Kilicsoy
94
S. Esposito
10
M. Zaccagni
27
D. Maldini
18
G. Isaksen
24
K. Taylor
6
N. Rovella
21
R. Belahyane
3
L. Pellegrini
13
A. Romagnoli
25
O. Provstgaard
77
A. Marusic
94
I. Provedel

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lazio

Substitutes

Cagliari
Cagliari
Goalkeeper

G. Ciocci

A. Sherri

Defender

R. Idrissi

L. Mazzitelli 42'

J. Rodriguez

G. Zappa

S. Kilicsoy 88'

Midfielder

J. Liteta

O. Raterink

Forward

L. Pavoletti

Y. Trepy

S. Esposito 73'

A. Albarracin

P. Mendy

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

E. Motta

Defender

E. Hysaj

Patric

N. Tavares

L. Pellegrini 72'

Midfielder

A. Przyborek

F. Dele-Bashiru

D. Cataldi

N. Rovella 60'

Forward

B. Dia

M. Cancellieri

G. Isaksen 60'

P. Ratkov

D. Maldini 72'

T. Noslin

M. Zaccagni 84'

Missing players

Cagliari
Cagliari
Forward

M. Felici

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

S. Gigot

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Cagliari
CD Huachipato Lazio
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals) Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Best assists
Italy S. Esposito (5 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)

Cagliari - Lazio Key Points

  1. Cagliari are coming off two straight losses.
  2. Lazio beat Cagliari in each of their last six visits.
  3. Lazio avoided defeat in seven of their last 10 matches.
  4. Cagliari haven't won any of their last 21 meetings with Lazio.
  5. In the last six away matches, Lazio haven't tasted defeat, winning twice.
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Our Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction

Lazio have had an inconsistent season but will come into this game as the favorites despite playing on the road. In the last 21 meetings with Cagliari, Lazio are unbeaten. They have also won each of their last six away matches at Cagliari and will see the opportunity to bounce back here.

While Cagliari have had their stellar moments in recent weeks, we aren’t backing them to show those in this particular fixture. Therefore, our prediction for Cagliari v Lazio is that Lazio wins.

Prediction :

 

Lazio wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cagliari Lazio

Cagliari vs Lazio Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Cagliari wins 3.36 3.72 +10.7%
Draw 3.36 3.1 -7.7%
Lazio wins 2.38 2.38 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lazio is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 42.0% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.