Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Cagliari
02/01/2026 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The first match of the year in Serie A pits Cagliari against AC Milan at the Unipol Domus Stadium in Cagliari. AC Milan sit second going into the game, while Cagliari are 14th. Read on to find our prediction for the match.

Cagliari haven't had the best of runs in the season but ended 2025 on a high. They registered their fourth win of the season after beating Torino 2-0 away from home. The win gave them some breathing space, as they are now six points above the drop zone.

Half of their 18 points have come from home matches, though it hasn’t been rosy against Milan over the years. Cagliari are winless in this fixture in the last 15 matches.

The visitors have seen a lot of success when visiting Cagliari and will be looking to keep that going. Milan’s 2025 ended in mixed fortunes, failing in their Super Cup defence, having earlier been eliminated from the Coppa Italia.

They, however, closed the year with a 3-0 win at home to Verona and will want to start off 2026 with a bang. Being just one point behind leaders Inter Milan, the Rossoneri will surely be giving their all here.

This is the only competition they are still in, and their league form has offered a boost. Milan are the only unbeaten side away from home in Serie A so far.

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The Best Betting Odds for Cagliari v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
6 4.2 1.53
Betfred
6 3.75 1.53
William Hill
5.5 3.9 1.55
Unibet
6.1 3.95 1.55
Betway
5.75 4 1.57
Check all Cagliari vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Cagliari vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/01/2026 between Cagliari and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.71% for a win of Cagliari against AC Milan with odds of 6.5 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs AC Milan is 31.93% with odds of 4.3 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.36% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Cagliari with odds of 1.6 at 888Starz.

Cagliari vs AC Milan Form

Cagliari and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
AC Milan
AC Milan
35 16 10 5 1 14
14
Cagliari
Cagliari
18 17 4 6 7 -5

Cagliari and AC Milan Last Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
L D W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
Cagliari

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  2
Pisa SC

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Cagliari
L L L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  2
Pisa SC

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Bologna

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Inter Milan
L D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
Cagliari

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Cagliari

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Cagliari

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina
D D W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cagliari

0 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (home team)
2.83
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Cagliari

9 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
AC Milan

11 May 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
5 :  1
Cagliari

2 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
4 :  1
Cagliari

27 Sept 2023 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  3
AC Milan

19 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan last Lineups

Cagliari

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

1
E. Caprile
28
G. Zappa
14
A. Deiola
6
S. Luperto
2
M. Palestra
4
L. Mazzitelli
16
M. Prati
8
M. Adopo
3
R. Idrissi
10
G. Gaetano
9
S. Kilicsoy
18
C. Nkunku
11
C. Pulisic
33
D. Bartesaghi
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
5
K. De Winter
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Cagliari
Cagliari
Defender

Ze Pedro

Midfielder

M. Folorunsho

Forward

A. Belotti

M. Felici

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Defender

M. Gabbia

Forward

C. Balentien

S. Gimenez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Cagliari
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (3 Goals)
Italy G. Borrelli (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals)
Best assists
Italy M. Palestra (3 Assists)
Best assists
France C. Nkunku (2 Assists)
Italy S. Ricci (2 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (2 Assists)
France A. Rabiot (2 Assists)
Belgium A. Saelemaekers (2 Assists)
Croatia L. Modric (2 Assists)
England F. Tomori (2 Assists)

Cagliari and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Cagliari
Cagliari
AC Milan
AC Milan
24%
Wins
63%
35%
Draw
31%
41%
Losses
6%
2.53
Total goals per match
2.5
1.12
Goals scored per match
1.69
1.41
Goals conceded per match
0.81
47%
Over 2.5
56%
53%
Under 2.5
44%
59%
BTTS
50%
18%
Clean Sheet
50%

Cagliari - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Milan won four of their last five visits to Cagliari.
  2. Milan have only lost once in the league this season and won 10.
  3. Cagliari lost four times in their last 10 matches, winning only twice.
  4. Cagliari are winless in five of their last six home matches and lost three.
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Our Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction

10 days after being dethroned in the Super Cup, Milan returned to winning ways in the league to finish last year on a high. They have dominated this fixture, especially when visiting Cagliari. The visitors, being in the title race, will be keen on extending this run.

Cagliari haven’t been consistent, and this is another tough outing coming their way. Milan are also the only side yet to lose an away match in the league. Our prediction for Cagliari v AC Milan is that AC Milan wins.

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction