Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
The first qualification round in the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League sees Caernarfon Town play Levadia with a hope of upsetting the odds. The first leg on Thursday at The Oval between the Canaries and Levadia is a chance for both teams to take a lead into next week’s second leg, but can the hosts stop the geared-up visitors and stay alive in the tie?
The Welsh club Caernarfon qualified for this round by winning the 2025-26 Welsh Cup. The Estonian club Levadia qualified by finishing second in the 2025 Meistriliiga.
Caernarfon finished fourth in the 2025-26 Cymru Premier Championship Conference, while also winning the Welsh Cup. That helped them get a ticket to this qualification round. While the Canaries ended last season with three consecutive wins, they played only one club friendly before this competition. A 2-1 win over Glentoran gives them confidence, although stepping up to the European competition will be a challenge.
Levadia won 3-1 away at Narva last weekend to continue their strong hold at the top of the 2026 Meistriliiga standings. They have 11 wins from their last 13 league games (D1, L1), although the two matches they failed to win came in the last three fixtures. Levadia will hope to do better than last season, when they lost in the third qualifying round of the Conference League.
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Caernarfon Town FC v Levadia Tallinn Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 | 3.8 | 1.65 |
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4.27 | 3.74 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.22 | 4.1 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.37 | 4.15 | 1.66 |
|
|
4.26 | 3.72 | 1.82 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Caernarfon Town FC and Levadia Tallinn?
Our prediction for the Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn match is: Levadia Tallinn wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/07/2026 between Caernarfon Town FC and Levadia Tallinn in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.63% for a win of Caernarfon Town FC against Levadia Tallinn with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn is 6.64% with odds of 1001 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town FC with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
Caernarfon Town FC - Levadia Tallinn Prediction and Best Odds:
| Caernarfon Town FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Levadia Tallinn wins | 66.73% | 1.82 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.16% | 1.66 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Levadia Tallinn/Levadia Tallinn | 34.89% | 2.6 at 1xbet |
Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn Form
Caernarfon Town FC and Levadia Tallinn Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
12 Apr 2026 - FAW Welsh Cup
3 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
27 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
21 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
12 Apr 2026 - FAW Welsh Cup
27 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
13 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
27 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
14 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
21 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
8 Mar 2026 - FAW Welsh Cup
20 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
6 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Meistriliiga
28 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
20 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
17 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
13 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
30 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
20 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
9 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
26 Apr 2026 - Meistriliiga
19 Apr 2026 - Meistriliiga
8 Apr 2026 - Meistriliiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - Meistriliiga
17 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
13 Jun 2026 - Meistriliiga
30 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
24 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
17 May 2026 - Meistriliiga
Caernarfon Town FC - Levadia Tallinn Key Points
- Levadia have been playing competitive league action since March.
- Levadia have won 11 of their last 13 matches, losing only once.
- Caernarfon lost three of their last six competitive games.
- Caernarfon lost their last three matches in the Conference League, in the previous season.
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Our Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn Prediction
One advantage Levadia bring to this fixture is that their league season has already started. Being in the middle of a league campaign that they are topping with 14 wins out of 19 matches (D4, L1), Levadia will hope it can make a difference. Caernarfon, on the other hand, have played just a friendly before this season started with this fixture.
The hosts have also struggled in the Conference League qualifiers last season, and that’s why our Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn prediction is Levadia Tallinn wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Caernarfon Town FC Levadia Tallinn
| Caernarfon Town FC vs Levadia Tallinn | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town FC wins | 2.5 | 1001 | +39,940.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 1001 | +28,500.0% |
| Levadia Tallinn wins | 2.4 | 1.82 | -24.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Levadia Tallinn is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 24.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 54.9% (13.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
