South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Nella Wagah | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Penarol Montevideo will welcome Argentine side Racing Avellaneda in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores knockout tie. While Penarol booked their ticket here through a second-place finish in Group H, Racing topped Group E. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Penarol will have another opportunity to extend their impressive home form. In this tournament, they’ve been almost impregnable at home, winning two of three matches.
In those three matches, they kept two clean sheets. Across their last 13 home matches in all competitions, Penarol are unbeaten, with 11 wins.
Racing, on the other hand, haven't had a poor run, but they will enter this encounter as second-best. A 1-1 draw with Boca Juniors in their last outing was a perfect warmup for the clash.
They had, however, suffered defeat in two of the earlier four matches, failing to score in the losses. Racing generally haven't been scoring a lot lately; they managed more than a goal in just one of their last five matches.
The visitors will be banking on their recent form in the Copa Libertadores, coming here unbeaten in four. However, they struggled against top opposition. In the last five away Libertadores matches, Racing lost to Atletico Nacional and Flamengo and then drew with Colo Colo.
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The Best Betting Odds for CA Penarol Montevideo v Racing Club Avellaneda Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.63 | 2.88 | 3 |
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2.63 | 2.8 | 2.75 |
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2.8 | 2.75 | 2.8 |
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3.1 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
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2.7 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between CA Penarol Montevideo and Racing Club Avellaneda?
Our prediction for the CA Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Club Avellaneda match is: Penarol wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between CA Penarol Montevideo and Racing Club Avellaneda in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.38% for a win of CA Penarol Montevideo against Racing Club Avellaneda with odds of 3.1 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CA Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Club Avellaneda is 25.66% with odds of 3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Racing Club Avellaneda vs CA Penarol Montevideo with odds of 3.05 at Stake.
CA Penarol Montevideo - Racing Club Avellaneda Prediction and Best Odds:
CA Penarol Montevideo Racing Club Avellaneda Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 41.38% | 3.1 at Betway |
Under 2.5 | 56.79% | 1.95 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 33.33% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: CA Penarol Montevideo | 18.17% | 6 at Bet365 |
CA Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Club Avellaneda Form
CA Penarol Montevideo and Racing Club Avellaneda Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
1 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
6 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
28 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
22 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
19 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
1 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
28 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
22 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
7 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
29 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
19 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
15 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
1 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
6 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
2 May 2025 - Primera Division

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
26 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2 Jul 2025 - Copa Argentina
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
26 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2 Jul 2025 - Copa Argentina
29 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
14 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
6 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
28 Apr 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
22 Apr 2025 - Copa Libertadores
14 Apr 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
CA Penarol Montevideo against Racing Club Avellaneda Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists






CA Penarol Montevideo - Racing Club Avellaneda Key Points
- Racing lost two of their last five Libertadores away matches.
- Penarol have kept four clean sheets in the last five matches.
- In their last 13 matches at home, Penarol are unbeaten.
- Penarol are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Racing lost twice in the last five matches.
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Our CA Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Club Avellaneda Prediction
Penarol have a superb record at home and will benefit from that here, as they are unbeaten in Copa Libertadores at home this season. In their three matches there, the Uruguayan side posted two wins and as many clean sheets.
Racing could suffer on this trip; they have two wins in the last five matches, and away from home in Copa Libertadores, they suffered two defeats. They aren't a weak side but here odds are stacked against them. Our prediction for Penarol v Racing Avellaneda is that Penarol wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CA Penarol Montevideo Racing Club Avellaneda
CA Penarol Montevideo vs Racing Club Avellaneda | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 2.25 | 2.63 | +16.9% |
Draw | 3.25 | 2.88 | -11.4% |
Racing Club Avellaneda wins | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- CA Penarol Montevideo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 38.0% (-6.4%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Racing Club Avellaneda game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between CA Penarol Montevideo and Racing Club Avellaneda when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Copa Libertadores!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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