Burnley vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
After enduring underwhelming campaigns in the Premier League this season, Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers will face off on the final day. Both sides are headed to the Championship, having suffered relegation and either side will be targeting a strong finish. These teams’ biggest struggles in the season emanated from defensive frailty. Here we have two of the most porous defences coming face to face. Burnley’s matches have averaged three goals while Wolves’ have produced 2.5, and our prediction will back a high-scoring fixture.
Though their relegation is confirmed, both sides still have something to play for. Separated by two points, this will be a chance to avoid finishing bottom. That aspect doesn’t look very promising for the hosts, Burnley, who have the poorest record at home, having only managed 12 points from 18 games.
Wolves will be looking to rise here after losing the reverse fixture 3-2 but each side has won twice in the last five meetings.
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Burnley v Wolves Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.42 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.34 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 2.86 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Wolves?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Wolves match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2026 between Burnley and Wolves in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.36% for a win of Burnley against Wolves with odds of 2.58 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Wolves is 25.92% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolves vs Burnley with odds of 2.95 at 888Starz.
Burnley - Wolves Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Wolves Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves wins | 40.72% | 2.95 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.72% | 1.94 at Roobet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wolves | 15.34% | 7 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Wolves Form
Burnley and Wolves's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
|
20
|
20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 |
Burnley and Wolves Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
1 May 2026 - Premier League
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2026 - Premier League
1 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
23 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
Burnley vs Wolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
5 Dec 2023 - Premier League
24 Apr 2022 - Premier League
1 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - Wolves: Form Analysis
Burnley returns to the Championship just one season after leaving for the PL. It has been an extremely difficult campaign back in the top flight for the Clarets, who have managed just four wins. Burnley, who last month parted ways with Scott Parker, the man who orchestrated their promotion last season, have lost 24 games.
No other team has lost as many. Mike Jackson’s men haven’t won in 12 outings and have been defeated nine times in this run. Their most recent setback came last weekend away to champions Arsenal. Losing by a solitary goal away to the top team in the country will have lifted the confidence levels heading into the final day.
These two sides have conceded a combined 141 goals in the league this season.
Wolves also arrive on the final day with a winless run of their own. Rob Edwards’ men have failed to win in eight outings, with five of those fixtures ending in losses. They, however, avoided defeat last weekend thanks to a 1-1 draw at home to Fulham.
Another draw on the final weekend will not save them from finishing rock bottom. Wolves, who have also lost 24 matches, have racked up just 19 points in 37 outings. With only three wins so far, Wolves have endured one of their toughest campaigns in the top flight, which brings to an end an eight-season stay in the PL.
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Burnley against Wolves Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Dubravka
DefenderH. Ekdal
C. Roberts
MidfielderJ. Ward-Prowse
J. Laurent
ForwardA. Barnes
Z. Amdouni
M. Edwards
J. Bruun Larsen
D. Bentley
DefenderT. Gomes
J. Tchatchoua
H. Bueno
P. Lima
T. Edozie
J. Abbey
T. Arokodare
E. Sutherland
Missing players
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
S. Johnstone
ForwardE. Gonzalez
L. Chiwome
Burnley & Wolves Squad Analysis
Zian Flemming and Jaidon Anthony are tussling to finish as Burnley’s top scorer this season. Flemming is ahead in the race with 11 goals, while Anthony has nine goals. In the reverse meeting between the teams Flemming scored twice as the Clarets posted a 3-2 win.
While the Dutchman has been an important player for Burnley, his goals haven’t borne the best omen. In the eight times he scored after that reverse match, Burnley didn’t end up on the winning side. They lost six times, with two ending in draws.
Wolves’ Mateus Mane has attracted interest from top sides including Liverpool.
Tolu Arokodare has scored six goals for Wolves and leads the club’s scoring charts. Goals have been hard to come by for the visitors as only three players have scored at least five times across their season.
Mateus Mane isn’t among the three, but his three goals should be motivational as the youngster marks a breakthrough season. The 18-year-old is coming off a scoring outing after helping his side to a 1-1 draw against Fulham last time out.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Wolves
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
R. Gomes
(3 Goals)
, 
S. Bueno
(3 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(3 Goals)
, 
M. Mane
(3 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
D. Moller Wolfe
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Hee-chan
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Bueno
(2 Assists)
,
A. Armstrong
(2 Assists)
Burnley - Wolves Key Points
- Five goals were scored in the reverse meeting between Wolves and Burnley.
- Burnley’s matches in the league have averaged three goals.
- So far in the league, Wolves’ matches have produced an average of 2.51 goals.
- Burnley have scored two or more goals four times in their last 10 games at home
- Wolves have conceded 10 goals in their last three away matches.
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Our Burnley vs Wolves Prediction
These two teams have already been relegated but still have something to play for. That is to avoid finishing the season rock bottom in the standings. As such, we should expect an exciting battle that might see more than a couple of goals being scored.
Though they have each struggled in attack, Burnley have fared a bit better and have enjoyed their best output at home. Wolves, on the other hand, are conceding goals at a high volume, especially on the road. Our prediction for Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers is for more than 2.5 goals.r.
Burnley vs Wolves Alternative Predictions
Draw
In our second prediction, we are settling for this match to end in a draw. Burnley and Wolves have drawn a combined 19 matches in the league and arrive for this fixture with extensive winless runs.
Wolves drew four times in the 10 matches that came after losing the reverse fixture against Burnley. They are also winless in the last five visits to Burnley in the Premier League, two ending in draws.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Wolves
| Burnley vs Wolves | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 2.53 | 2.58 | +2.0% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.5 | -3.3% |
| Wolves wins | 2.91 | 2.95 | +1.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wolves is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.4% and is now 33.9% (-0.5%)
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Burnley vs Wolves - FAQs
This match will be played on Sunday, 24 May.
This match will be played at Burnley’s Turf Moor Stadium in Burnley, England.
This match will receive a live telecast in the UK on SkySports+ while live updates for this and other Premier League matches will be available on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
