Burnley vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Turf Moor will be awash with claret and blue this weekend, as Burnley host West Ham United on Saturday, with both teams battling for breathing room in the Premier League survival scrap. The Clarets and the Hammers are 19th and 18th in the league standings, respectively, after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Despite returning to the top flight by winning the EFL Championship, Burnley have performed the worst of the newly-promoted teams this season, earning just 15 points from 24 games. It’s been over three months since Scott Parker’s side has won a league game, and they now face a side that they have not beaten in their last seven attempts.
The Irons have shown signs of improvement lately, but they were left gutted last week after squandering a two-goal lead to lose 3-2 away to Chelsea. That was the seventh time they failed to win a match after taking the lead this season, and no team has dropped more points from winning positions than Nuno Espirito Santo’s men in the EPL to date (18). Let’s take a look at some more key stats!
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Burnley v West Ham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.15 | 3.55 | 2.27 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.42 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and West Ham?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs West Ham match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Burnley and West Ham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.54% for a win of Burnley against West Ham with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs West Ham is 38.22% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.25% chance ⭐ for a win of West Ham vs Burnley with odds of 2.33 at 888Starz.
Burnley - West Ham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley West Ham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.22% | 3.7 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.14% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time: Burnley / Full-time: Draw | 13.99% | 15 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs West Ham Form
Burnley and West Ham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
39 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and West Ham Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
6 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
6 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Burnley vs West Ham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
17 Apr 2022 - Premier League
12 Dec 2021 - Premier League
3 May 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - West Ham: Form Analysis
After their longest run without defeat in the top flight this season, drawing against Man United, Liverpool and Spurs, Burnley were handed a 3-0 hiding by Sunderland on the road last weekend.
The Clarets are now winless in their last 15 league games (D5 L10) dating back to late October, and have still only recorded three wins this season. They also have the lowest xG per 90 in the EPL this season (0.83).
The hosts have drawn three of their last four home games but have only taken 10 points from 12 matches at Turf Moor this term (W2 D4 L6). They have also conceded two or more goals in four of their last five league matches at this venue.
Over 2.5 goals were scored in each of the last three matches between these sides!
Meanwhile, West Ham pulled off important wins over QPR in the FA Cup, and Tottenham and Sunderland in the EPL, before suffering that heartbreaking late defeat away to Chelsea last week.
However, with none of the five sides above them in the league standings managing to record a victory on MD24, the Irons are still within touching distance of safety, six points behind Forest in 17th.
The visitors' away record this season is poor, though, as they have only won two of their 12 games on the road (D4 L6) and have conceded three or more goals in three of their last four outings.
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Burnley against West Ham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderJ. Worrall
H. Ekdal
MidfielderJ. Laurent
A. Barnes
A. Broja
L. Foster
L. Tchaouna
J. Bruun Larsen
A. Areola
DefenderM. Kilman
S. Magassa
K. Walker-Peters
M. Kante
F. Potts
O. Scarles
Pablo
A. Traore
Missing players
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
L. Fabianski
Burnley & West Ham Squad Analysis
After scoring against Spurs, Parker opted to bring Lyle Foster back into the starting 11 at the Stadium of Light. However, the South African registered only 17 touches in the match and was hooked just after the hour mark.
Axel Tuanzebe scored an own goal last week and was withdrawn at the halftime break for Josh Laurent. The DR Congo international did not appear to have picked up an injury, so it will be interesting to see if he starts this match or is dropped.
The hosts will be missing at least five players due to injury for this match, including Mike Tresor, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, Zeki Amdouni and long-term absentee Josh Cullen.
Crysencio Summerville has scored in each of his last four matches for West Ham!
Indeed, the 24-year-old is enjoying his best run of form since arriving at the London Stadium, and has now been nominated for the Player of the Month award after netting at Stamford Bridge.
Callum Wilson has eight career goals against Burnley, and Santo may be tempted to hand him a start here, with Taty Castellanos yet to score his first league goal after four starts since arriving at the club.
Jean-Clair Tobido was sent off in the dying moments against Chelsea last week and will be forced to sit out this match. He will be joined on the sidelines by the injured Lukasz Fabianski.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
West Ham
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
J. Bowen
(9 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
J. Bowen
(11 Assists)
Burnley - West Ham Key Points
- Five of Burnley’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Burnley have only kept one clean sheet in their last 15 league matches.
- Burnley have the highest xGA per 90 in the EPL this season (2.02).
- Six of West Ham’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- West Ham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
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Our Burnley vs West Ham Prediction
Given these sides’ league positions, this is the type of match that both teams will know they absolutely have to win if they are to have any chance of avoiding the drop this season.
Choosing a winner here simply feels too risky, especially when considering that these teams have the worst (West Ham) and second-worst (Burnley) defensive records in the division this season. With both expected to go all-out for the three points, we feel there will be goals in this one. Our Burnley vs West Ham prediction is BTTS.
Burnley vs West Ham Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Four of Burnley’s last five games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while each of West Ham’s last five have seen three or more goals strike the back of the net. Additionally, these teams have conceded the most goals in the EPL this season.
Crysencio Summerville to score or assist
Crysencio Summerville has scored in each of his last four matches and has six goal contributions in his last five games for West Ham.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley West Ham
| Burnley vs West Ham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 2.5 | 3.25 | +30.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.7 | +13.8% |
| West Ham wins | 2.75 | 2.33 | -15.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 27.0% (-3.7%)
Burnley vs West Ham - FAQs
The Premier League match between Burnley and West Ham will take place on February 7 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Aston Villa will be played at Turf Moor in Burnley.
The Premier League match between Burnley and West Ham will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
