England - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday five in the English Premier League sees 17th-place Burnley taking on 15th-placed Nottingham Forest at Turf Moor. A big three points is up for grabs with both the Clarets and the Tricky Trees experiencing slow starts to the 2025-26 campaign. Who will come out on top? Check out our match prediction below!
These two last faced off on the final day of the 2023-24 Premier League season, during which time Forest secured a 2-1 victory to finish 17th while Burnley suffered relegation with a 19th-placed finish. Since then, Burnley would go on to win immediate promotion back from the Championship while Forest surprised the league with a seventh-place finish last season.
It’s been a tough start for both teams in the current season and Nottingham Forest have already decided to change their manager, bringing in Ange Postocoglou. The Australian had a good record in these types of spots during his time as Tottenham boss, winning five of his last six away fixtures against promoted sides. Will he earn his first points as Forest boss here?
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Nottingham Forest Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.4 | 2.14 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Nottingham Forest match is: Burnley double chance.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Burnley and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.64% for a win of Burnley against Nottingham Forest with odds of 3.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Nottingham Forest is 20.64% with odds of 3.47 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Burnley with odds of 2.26 at 22bet.
Burnley vs Nottingham Forest Form
Burnley and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
|
17
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
Burnley and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sep 2025 - National League Cup
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
29 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
29 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sep 2025 - National League Cup
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - National League Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Burnley vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2023 - Premier League
30 Aug 2023 - Carabao Cup
Burnley - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
Burnley put in a brave performance last weekend, nearly holding out with 10 men for an unlikely point at this ground when they hosted title-favourites Liverpool.
The Clarets held out for 94 minutes before a last-gasp Mo Salah penalty condemned Scott Parker’s side to a 1-0 defeat. It was their second loss in a row after putting in another encouraging performance in a 3-2 away loss to Manchester United before the international break.
They’ll now try to rebound as they seek their third victory at this ground in four attempts across all competitions this season.
Ange Postocoglou wasn’t able to get one over on his old North London rivals.
The former Spurs boss was tasked with heading to the Emirates to try to get a result in his first match in charge. It wasn’t to be as Nottingham Forest failed to put up much of a fight in a 3-0 away loss to Arsenal.
Forest managed just one shot on target in that game, generating a measly 0.20 expected goals. Things wouldn’t get much better in the following fixture as Forest were eliminated in the League Cup by Swansea City 3-2 away from home.
It would have been a particularly bitter bill to swallow as Nottingham Forest looked to be heading towards victory before goals in the 90+2’ and 90+7’ gave the Swans an unlikely victory. The visitors have now lost their last three games on the bounce, conceding three goals in each appearance.
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Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderL. Ugochukwu
ForwardZ. Amdouni
O. Aina
MidfielderN. Dominguez
Burnley & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
Burnley manager Scott Parker will be unable to call upon four players for the visit of Nottingham Forest. Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni all miss out with injuries, while midfielder Lesley Ugochukwu misses out after receiving a straight red against Liverpool.
Fans will be wondering if this is the match where summer signing Armando Broja makes his first Premier League start for the Clarets. The 24-year-old was acquired for €23.5 million and provided an assist in his League Cup appearance against Derby at the end of August.
Influential defender Murillo could miss out here after coming off in the first half against Arsenal.
The Brazilian was a huge part as to why Forest kept 13 clean sheets in the league last season and would be a big miss at the back for the visitors. Also set to miss out is defender Ola Aina and midfielder Nicolas Dominguez.
Postocoglou opted to rest many of his first-choice players for the team’s League Cup match against Swansea. Last season’s top scorer, Chris Wood, was left out completely and is expected to return to the starting lineup here while the impressive Dan Ndoye should also be recalled.
Wood’s deputy, Igor Jesus, impressed against Swansea, scoring a brace to mark his first goals for his new club. The former Botafogo player only played the first 45 minutes, signaling that he’ll see some more involvement in this game, although it will likely have to be from the bench.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
J. Anthony
(2 Goals)
C. Wood
(2 Goals)
, 
I. Jesus
(2 Goals)
J. Bruun Larsen
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Cullen
(1 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(1 Assists)
M. Gibbs-White
(1 Assists)
,
E. Anderson
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Ndoye
(1 Assists)
Burnley and Nottingham Forest Stats in Premier League
Burnley - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Burnley have two wins in three home matches across all competitions this season.
- Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in a row.
- The visitors have now conceded nine goals in their last three appearances and are yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
- Burnley has the rest advantage with Forest having played a cup fixture on Wednesday.
- Forest have allowed 11 clear cut chances in their last three matches while conceding a combined 4.99 xG.
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Our Burnley vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Despite Burnley having lost their last two matches in a row, they put in encouraging performances. The Clarets were mere seconds away from getting results at Old Trafford and at home against Liverpool.
Nottingham Forest likely deserved to win against Swansea but couldn’t maintain their focus until the final whistle. The defense, which was such a formidable unit last season, is having some serious struggles in the current campaign. It could be tough for them to get the full three points here. Our Burnley vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Burnley double chance.
Burnley vs Nottingham Forest - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
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