Burnley vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in FA Cup Predictions
Burnley will perhaps face its easiest challenge all season when they play Mansfield Town in Round 4 of the FA Cup. With relegation slowly becoming a reality for The Clarets, Burnley may just turn to the FA Cup to salvage a disastrous season. Let's get into this match prediction.
After beating Crystal Palace 3-2 away from home, Burnley has just ended a 16-game winless streak, which featured 11 defeats. The victory will surely give them the confidence to bag two straight wins for only the second time this season.
Notably, The Clarets enjoyed a strong start to their FA Cup campaign, thrashing Millwall 5-1 in the last round. Now they face a team in an even lower division, and should already be fancying their spot in the next round. In sharp contrast, Mansfield’s nine-game unbeaten run just ended with a painful loss to Peterborough United.
The Stags, as well, will be looking to not only avoid a losing streak but also capitalise on momentum after beating a higher-division Sheffield United side 4-3 in the last round. Yet, The Stags' latest slump, which has seen no victories in their last five games, is not the kind of form they should be bringing even against a struggling Burnley.
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Burnley v Mansfield Town Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.7 | 7 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.5 | 7.38 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 8.45 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 8.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Mansfield Town?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Mansfield Town match is: Burnley wins & over 1.5. goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Burnley and Mansfield Town in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.54% for a win of Burnley against Mansfield Town with odds of 1.43 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Mansfield Town is 43.05% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Mansfield Town vs Burnley with odds of 8.8 at Tonybet.
Burnley - Mansfield Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Mansfield Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.05% | 5.4 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.58% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 17.86% | 7 at LSbet |
Burnley vs Mansfield Town Form
Burnley and Mansfield Town Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
Burnley against Mansfield Town Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
V. Hladky
DefenderJ. Worrall
B. Humphreys
L. Pires
L. Ugochukwu
Z. Flemming
H. Mejbri
M. Edwards
E. Agyei
H. Lewis
DefenderE. Hewitt
N. Moriah-Welsh
L. Bolton
R. Hendry
J. Gardner
V. Adeboyejo
O. Irow
D. Dwyer
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
Burnley - Mansfield Town Key Points
- Burnley is two divisions above Mansfield.
- Mansfield are winless in their last five games, and lost the latest.
- Burnley thrashed Millwall 5-1 in the blast round, which was their opening game.
- Mansfield has conceded 2, 2, and 3 goals in the third FA Cup games, respectively.
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Our Burnley vs Mansfield Town Prediction
We can only expect another multi-goal win for the far better team here. Yes, Burnley are struggling with relegation due to their abysmal form. But you must understand that The Clarets face Europe’s best teams week in week out. And their opening game in the FA Cup only proved the difference in quality after thrashing Millwall 5-1.
Another factor we're looking at is The Stags leaky defence in this tournament, which has seen them concede 2+ goals in all three FA Cup games this season. Hence, our Burnley vs Mansfield Town prediction is that Burnley wins & over 1.5. goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Mansfield Town
| Burnley vs Mansfield Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 1.28 | 1.43 | +11.7% |
| Draw | 4.9 | 5.4 | +10.2% |
| Mansfield Town wins | 13 | 8.8 | -32.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 20.4% and is now 18.5% (-1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
