Burnley vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
We’re off to Turf Moor for a tea-time tussle in the top flight this weekend, when Burnley take on Brentford in a crucial Matchday 28 clash in the Premier League. The Clarets are 19th in the league standings, while the Bees are in seventh place after 27 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Scott Parker’s side are running out of time to save themselves from returning to the Championship, currently eight points behind Nottingham Forest - the first team above the dotted line. However, they have gained some momentum in recent weeks and need to continue in that vein, leading up to what could be a season-defining clash against the Tricky Trees on MD33.
Keith Andrews, on the other hand, has defied expectations this season, and despite a home loss last week, his side is still only five points off Chelsea in fifth and firmly in contention to qualify for Europe. The Bees were 3-1 winners in the reverse fixture back in November and are the clear favourites in this one as well. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Burnley v Brentford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.4 | 3.85 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.46 | 3.76 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.46 | 3.76 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.9 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.7 | 1.77 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Brentford match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Burnley and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.29% for a win of Burnley against Brentford with odds of 4.63 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Brentford is 18.3% with odds of 3.91 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Burnley with odds of 1.84 at 888Starz.
Burnley - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 58.41% | 1.84 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.51% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Brentford/Brentford | 25.31% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Brentford Form
Burnley and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Brentford Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
16 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
16 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Burnley vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
12 Mar 2022 - Premier League
30 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - Brentford: Form Analysis
While it may prove to be too little too late, Burnley have shown they are not going to go down without a fight. That was never more evident than last week when they battled back to take a point away from Stamford Bridge (1-1).
That result followed a stunning comeback from two goals down to beat Crystal Palace 3-2 a week earlier. The four points the Clarets have taken in their last two EPL games are just one fewer than they earned in their previous 16.
However, the hosts are winless in their last nine home league games (D3 L6), while their two wins at Turf Moor this term came against fellow newly promoted teams Leeds and Sunderland.
Burnley have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five home league games!
Meanwhile, Brentford’s four-match unbeaten run across all competitions (W3 D1) was brought to an end last weekend when they suffered a 2-0 defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion at the Gtech.
Notably, the Bees have now scored just five goals in their last six Premier League games, a significant drop-off after finding the back of the net 13 times in their previous five league matches.
Twelve of the visitors' 15 points on the road this season have come from their last five away games (W4 D1), but they are winless in their last five at this venue, including losses in their last three visits.
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Burnley against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderQ. Hartman
H. Ekdal
K. Walker
MidfielderL. Ugochukwu
Florentino
A. Barnes
L. Foster
L. Tchaouna
E. Balcombe
DefenderN. Collins
E. Pinnock
MidfielderR. Donovan
L. Bentt
J. Henderson
O. Shield
K. Lewis-Potter
K. Furo
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
A. Broja
Z. Amdouni
A. Hickey
MidfielderJ. Dasilva
V. Janelt
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
Burnley & Brentford Squad Analysis
Zian Flemming scored the crucial equaliser against Chelsea and should lead the line for Burnley again this week. He is the team’s top scorer this season, but all six of his goals have come in away games.
Parker clarified that Lyle Foster, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu and Bashir Humphries were hit by an illness ahead of the Chelsea clash. Foster was left out of the squad but is likely to return for this match.
However, the hosts still have several players sidelined at present, including Axel Tuanzebe, Mike Tresor, Josh Cullen, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts and Zeki Amdouni. Armando Broja is a doubt.
Igor Thiago has scored only one goal in his last six EPL matches!
Despite this mini-slump, the Brazilian is still having an incredible season, now with 17 goals in 27 league games. He also made history after scoring in the reverse fixture, becoming the fastest Brentford player to reach 10 goals in a Prem season (13 matches).
Kevin Schade made his return from a red-card suspension against the Seagulls last week. He has six goals this term - albeit all of them have come at the Gtech - and is likely to replace Keane Lewis-Potter from the off this weekend.
The visitors are expected to be missing at least three players through injury for this trip to Turf Moor, including Fabio Carvalho, Antoni Milambo and Josh Dasilva, while Aaron Hicky is questionable.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Brentford
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
I. Thiago
(22 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
M. Damsgaard
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Burnley - Brentford Key Points
- Seven of Burnley’s last nine games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Burnley have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 home matches.
- Brentford have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last nine away league games.
- Brentford have the sixth-highest xG per 90 in the EPL this season (1.61).
- Both teams scored in the last two matches between these sides.
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Our Burnley vs Brentford Prediction
While it may still prove to be too little too late for Burnley, they have certainly shown plenty of fight in the last few weeks, capped off by that stunning last-minute equaliser to salvage a point against Chelsea last weekend.
Brentford have defied expectations this season, but their recent defensive performances on the road have been far from impressive. Given how these sides enter this fixture, we feel both will get on the scoresheet by the final whistle. Our Burnley vs Brentford prediction is BTTS.
Burnley vs Brentford Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Five of Burnley’s last six games have ended with over 2.5 goals, and they have conceded the most goals in the EPL this season (52). Brentford have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last nine away league games.
Igor Thiago to score anytime
Igor Thiago has 17 goals in the Premier League this season and bagged a brace in the reverse fixture. He also has the joint second-highest xG per 90 (0.67) in the top flight this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Brentford
| Burnley vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 4.64 | 4.63 | -0.2% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.91 | +1.6% |
| Brentford wins | 1.85 | 1.84 | -0.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 54.3% (0.3%)
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Burnley vs Brentford - FAQs
The Premier League match between Burnley and Brentford will take place on February 28 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Brentford will be played at Turf Moor in Burnley.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Brentford will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
