Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 30 in the Premier League bursts into action with an intriguing battle at Turf Moor, where Burnley will be playing host to Bournemouth on Saturday afternoon. The Clarets are 19th in the league standings, while the Cherries are in ninth place after 29 games. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s looking almost certain that this season will end the run of all three newly-promoted teams being relegated back to the Championship. Unfortunately for Scott Parker’s side, the drop seems inevitable, as they have only managed four wins this term and are still 10 points from safety with nine games left to play.
Andoni Iraloa’s team, meanwhile, are still in with an outside chance of getting into the discussion for European qualification as they trail the top six by eight points. They’ve only lost seven matches this term, one fewer than fourth-placed Aston Villa, but they have left plenty of points on the table with a league-high 13 draws to date. Let’s get into some more key stats!
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Burnley v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 3.85 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.86 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.86 | 1.82 |
|
|
4 | 3.9 | 1.83 |
|
|
4 | 3.85 | 1.81 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Bournemouth match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Burnley and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.33% for a win of Burnley against Bournemouth with odds of 4.27 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Bournemouth is 43.63% with odds of 4.01 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Burnley with odds of 1.88 at 888Starz.
Burnley - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.63% | 4.01 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.86% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time: Burnley / Full-time: Draw | 15.33% | 15 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Bournemouth Form
Burnley and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Bournemouth Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
30 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Burnley vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
28 Oct 2023 - Premier League
7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
9 Feb 2021 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2020 - Premier League
Burnley - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
After a stunning comeback to take a point away from Stamford Bridge last month, Burnley suffered back-to-back defeats, falling to Brentford 4-3 before a 2-0 loss to Everton last time out.
The Clarets are now winless in their last four games, which included being dumped out of the FA Cup by third-tier Mansfield. They have also conceded the most goals in the top flight this season (58).
The hosts have the worst home record in the division this season with just 10 points earned in 14 games (W2 D4 L8). The last time they won a league match at Turf Moor was on October 18 against Leeds.
Burnley have conceded two or more goals in each of their last six EPL home games!
Meanwhile, Bournemouth played to a goalless draw at home against Brentford on MD29, a result that extended their unbeaten league run to nine games - their longest ever in the top flight.
During this stretch, the Cherries secured victories over Spurs, Liverpool, Wolves and Everton, but four of their last five league games have ended in stalemates, including each of their last three.
The visitors have only won three away games this term (D6 L5), but two of those wins have come in their last three outings. Notably, they’ve conceded 31 goals on the road this season, which is the second-most in the league, only behind Burnley’s 35.
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Burnley against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderL. Pires
J. Worrall
L. Ugochukwu
F. Luis
ForwardA. Barnes
A. Broja
L. Tchaouna
M. Edwards
C. Mandas
DefenderB. Diakite
A. Jimenez
A. Toth
D. Brooks
V. Milosavljevic
ForwardA. Adli
B. Doak
E. Unal
Missing players
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
J. Kluivert
Burnley & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Parker will hope Zian Flemming can shake off a calf injury to feature here. The Dutch forward is the team’s top scorer this season with seven goals, and netted in his last two appearances before picking up the knock against Brentford.
James Ward-Prowse had an impressive cameo off the bench against the Toffees and could be handed a start in this match, potentially in place of Florentino, who was hooked before the hour mark in that match.
The hosts still have several players unavailable through injury, including Armando Broja, Axel Tuanzebe, Mike Tresor, Josh Cullen, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts and Zeki Amdouni. Marcus Edwards is also a doubt.
Eli Junior Kroupi to return to the starting 11 for the Cherries?
With Antoine Semenyo now gone, the French under-21 international is Bournemouth's leading goal scorer with eight goals, and he will be eager to make an impact here after only getting 17 minutes against the Bees.
One to keep an eye on here is Marcus Tavernier, who is set to make his third start since returning from injury. He is the team’s creative spark with nine goal contributions this term (5 goals, four assists).
The visitors are expected to be missing at least four players for this match in Lewis Cook, Julio Soler, Justin Kluivert and Ben Doak.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Bournemouth
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
Burnley - Bournemouth Key Points
- Seven of Burnley’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Burnley have conceded the most goals in the EPL this season.
- Seven of Bournemouth’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Bournemouth have only failed to score in one of their last eight away league matches.
- Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between these sides across all competitions.
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Our Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction
While Burnley are among the favourites to be relegated this season, they have shown tremendous fight, even if results have not gone their way. They will also know the importance of getting a result here to start building momentum leading up to crucial matches against Forest, Leeds and Wolves during the run-in.
Bournemouth are enjoying their longest unbeaten run in the top flight, but they have left lots of points on the table, largely due to conceding cheaply. They have shipped 46 goals to date, which is the most of the top 14 teams in the standings. Our Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction is BTTS.
Burnley vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Burnley have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last eight games, while Bournemouth have shipped two or more in nine of their last 13 matches on the road.
Bournemouth wins
Burnley are winless in their last 10 home league games, while Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last nine top-flight matches and their last three at this venue (W2 D1).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Bournemouth
| Burnley vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 3.76 | 4.27 | +13.6% |
| Draw | 3.76 | 4.01 | +6.6% |
| Bournemouth wins | 2.07 | 1.88 | -9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.6% and is now 24.9% (-1.7%)
Burnley vs Bournemouth - FAQs
The Premier League match between Burnley and Bournemouth will take place on March 14 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Bournemouth will be played at Turf Moor in Burnley.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Bournemouth will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
