Bristol City vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
There's little to play for this in this final Championship fixture of the season. Bristol City are 13th in the table and end their season with a home fixture against 17th placed Stoke City. Can the Robins end with a home win? Read our match prediction below.
The most newsworthy aspect of this game is that it ends the reign of interim boss Roy Hodgson.The former England manager got off to a good start when he surprisingly cane out of retirement. It's gone downhill since then though with City failing to win their last four games.
They are 11 points behind the final promotion play-off position but with no relegation worries. City lost their most recent game 2-1 at Birmingham City. Eight home league games have been won this season but ten lost.
Both teams have scored in each of their last three games.
Stoke City had hopes of promotion earlier in the season but have had a poor run in recent months. A form guide for the last 15 league games has them in 21st place with only 13 points being earned. Each of their last three league fixtures has ended in defeat.
Their last six away league matches have all been lost.
We tip Bristol City to win.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bristol City v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.98 | 3.75 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.64 | 3.54 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.7 | 3.46 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.7 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bristol City and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Bristol City vs Stoke match is: Bristol City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Bristol City and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.45% for a win of Bristol City against Stoke with odds of 2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bristol City vs Stoke is 17.55% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Bristol City with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
Bristol City - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bristol City Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 50.45% | 2 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.01% | 1.78 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bristol City | 20.76% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Bristol City vs Stoke Form
Bristol City and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
62 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Bristol City and Stoke Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
27 Feb 2026 - Championship
17 Feb 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
3 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
11 Feb 2026 - Championship
Bristol City vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
Bristol City against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Thomas
DefenderS. Naylor
G. Tanner
MidfielderG. Earthy
D. Ezendu
M. Sykes
E. Riis
S. Armstrong
S. Bell
T. Simkin
DefenderA. Cresswell
S. Agina
T. Seko
J. Rak-Sakyi
L. Baker
ForwardM. Smit
R. Bozenik
S. Gallagher
Missing players
L. McNally
R. Atkinson
MidfielderJ. Williams
M. Bird
B. Wilmot
M. Talovierov
MidfielderT. Rigo
B. Lawal
A. Ampah
Most goals and assists
Bristol City
Stoke
S. Twine
(11 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
R. McCrorie
(6 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
Bristol City - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke have lost their last six away league games.
- Stoke have only scored one goal in their last four away league fixtures.
- Bristol City have won eight home league games this season.
- Stoke have lost a total of 12 away league fixtures this season with only 17 goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Bristol City vs Stoke Prediction
This is definitely a game for low stakes. There is nothing to play for here apart from pride with both sides knowing they will be in the Championship again next season. Bristol City are not in the best of form at present but at least they are scoring goals.
Stoke City have had a terrible second half of the season and have gone five games without a win. Each of their last six away league fixtures have been lost with them only scoring in one of the last four. Our Bristol City v Stoke prediction is Bristol City wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bristol City Stoke
| Bristol City vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 2.12 | 2 | -5.7% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.9 | +6.8% |
| Stoke wins | 3.3 | 3.7 | +12.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bristol City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.2% and is now 50.0% (2.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
