Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City will lock horns at Suncorp Stadium in the A-League on Saturday. The Roar are in 11th place, while the City Boys are sixth in the league standings after 24 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Brisbane Roar have already earned five points more than they did last season, but they look destined to finish in the bottom three unless they can notch up a couple of wins in their final two games.
The Roar played to a 2-2 draw against Central Coast Mariners last weekend, which extended their winless run in the top flight to 10 games, dating back to January 16 against Perth Glory.
The hosts have only taken 13 points from their 12 home games this season. They have also scored just 12 goals in as many games, which is the fewest at home in the division.
Meanwhile, Melbourne City widened their advantage over seventh-placed Macarthur to four points last week and will guarantee their spot in the Finals series with another victory here.
Hearts defeated Wellington Phoenix 2-0 last week and are now unbeaten in their last five games. No team has earned more points (13) than the defending champions during this period.
However, the visitors away form has not been great this season, with just 15 points earned from 12 games on the road. They have also scored the fewest away goals in the A-League this term (12).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Brisbane Roar v Melbourne City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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3.35 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
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|
|
3.7 | 3.6 | 1.98 |
|
|
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3.34 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
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3.75 | 3.7 | 1.86 |
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|
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3.6 | 3.45 | 1.96 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City match is: Melbourne City draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 10.57% for a win of Brisbane Roar against Melbourne City with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City is 40.75% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar with odds of 2.1 at Stake.
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brisbane Roar Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 48.69% | 2.1 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 50.69% | 1.97 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City | 23.85% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City Form
Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
11
|
26 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -9 |
Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - A-League
2 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
6 Jan 2026 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
11 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Feb 2024 - A-League
Brisbane Roar against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Freke
DefenderM. Dench
A. Ludwik
MidfielderN. Thom
Q. MacNicol
J. O'Shea
M. Ruhs
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderP. Antoniou
H. Delbridge
MidfielderM. Caputo
E. Durakovic
M. Memeti
M. Leckie
Most goals and assists
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City Key Points
- Brisbane Roar are winless in their last 10 league matches.
- Brisbane Roar have lost five of their last eight home games (D3).
- Brisbane Roar have scored the fewest home goals in the league this season.
- Melbourne City are unbeaten in their last five league matches.
- Melbourne City have only lost one of their last six league games at this venue.
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Our Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City Prediction
After an impressive end to 2025, Brisbane Roar looked as though they may be able to challenge for a Finals series spot, but they have been extremely poor since the start of this year and seem destined to finish near the foot of the table.
Melbourne City have not been great on the road this season, but they have been in solid form since bowing out of the AFC Champions League. We fancy the visitors in this match, but will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City prediction is Melbourne City draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brisbane Roar Melbourne City
| Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar wins | 4.33 | 3.75 | -13.4% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 | -2.6% |
| Melbourne City wins | 1.71 | 2.1 | +22.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.5% and is now 47.6% (-10.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.