England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
This is a game that 13th placed Brighton and Hove Albion really should win. The Seagulls are home to Leeds United this Saturday with the visitors two places and a point behind their opponents. Time for our match prediction.
Albion were knocked out of the Carabao Cup by Arsenal in midweek. They return to the Premier League in inconsistent form but still unbeaten at home. The Seagulls are only four points adrift of the top five, so a good run would put them in a good position by the end of 2025. Reducing the number of goals they concede (15 league goals this season) is another priority for this inconsistent team.
Leeds United had a good win in the league in their last match and are six points above the relegation zone. As you will read in the form section of this Premier League preview, it's their away form that is of most concern to the newly-promoted side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.95 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Leeds match is: Brighton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Brighton and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.29% for a win of Brighton against Leeds with odds of 1.9 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Leeds is 34.36% with odds of 3.95 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Brighton with odds of 4.5 at Unibet.
Brighton vs Leeds Form
Brighton and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
|
15
|
11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
Brighton and Leeds Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Brighton vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Mar 2023 - Premier League
27 Aug 2022 - Premier League
15 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Nov 2021 - Premier League
1 May 2021 - Premier League
16 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Brighton - Leeds: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion have won three of their nine Premier League games this season. They have drawn the same number and also been beaten on three occasions. All three losses have been on the road, most recently at Manchester United last weekend.
The Seagulls are unbeaten at the Amex.
Another away loss was incurred at Arsenal in midweek as the Seagulls crashed out of the Carabao Cup. Home form at the Amex is much better though with a couple of wins and two draws. It could easily have been four wins but they conceded late equalizers against Fulham and Tottenham.
Leeds United are back in the Premier League and have also won three games so far this season. Two have been drawn and four lost but the Whites did win their most recent fixture. That was a 2-1 home victory over struggling West Ham.
United's big problem is their away form. They won at bottom-of-the-table Wolves but have lost their other three games. Nine goals have been conceded by Leeds in their four away league matches this season.
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Missing players
A. Webster
MidfielderJ. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
S. March
B. Gruda
G. Gudmundsson
ForwardG. Wilfried
Brighton & Leeds Squad Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion made changes for the midweek Carabao Cup game at Arsenal. Players such as Welbeck, Dunk and Minteh can all be expected to return to the starting line-up for this Premier League home game against Leeds United.
Mitoma is a doubt for Brighton.
The Seagulls still have seeral injuries and top midfielder Kaoru Mitoma will have a fitness test to see if he can play any part in this match. Even if only on the subs bench, Albion would love to be able to call on Mitoma who is always capable of scoring for them.
James Milner missed the Carabao Cup game and may not play against the club he made his Premier League debut for 23 years ago. Another ex-Leeds player Georgino Rutter is likely to play up front.
Leeds didn't play in midweek so haven't had a match since October 24. They don't have any key injury problems at present. Willy Gnonto and Gabriel Gudmundsson are both back in training but if either features this weekend it's likely to be the latter.
United will expect Brighton to come at them continually in this fixture. A back-four is likely to be field by them as they try to reduce the number of goals that are being conceded on the road this season.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Leeds
D. Gomez
(5 Goals)
, 
D. Welbeck
(5 Goals)
J. Rodon
(2 Goals)
, 
N. Okafor
(2 Goals)
T. Watson
(3 Assists)
S. Longstaff
(2 Assists)
Brighton and Leeds Stats in Premier League
Brighton - Leeds Key Points
- Brighton are unbeaten at home in the Premier League this season.
- Leeds have lost three of their four away league fixtures.
- Brighton have beaten Newcastle and Manchester City at home this term.
- Only three clubs have conceded more away league goals than Leeds this season.
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Our Brighton vs Leeds Prediction
This is the kind of match that Brighton and Hove Albion should be taking three points from. The Seagulls are struggling on the road apart from that big win at Chelsea. They concede far too many goals on the road but remain unbeaten at home with some big scalps already claimed.
Leeds will be pleased with earning 11 points from their first nine games. Like their opponents, they are strong at home but struggling for consistency on the road with three league defeats to date. Our main Brighton v Leeds prediction is Brighton wins.
Brighton vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions
Danny Welbeck to score
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Brighton vs Leeds match : Frequently asked questions
This Premier League fixture between Brighton and Hove Albion and Leeds United takes place on Saturday November 1. It is due to kick-off at 15:00 UK time.
Brighton and Hove Albion are the home side in this Premier League fixture. That means the match will be played at the Amex in the Falmer area of Brighton. Albion are unbeaten at home in the Premier League this season.
With this being a 15:00 Saturday kick-off in the UK, the game will not be televised. You can keep up to date with all that’s happening at the Amex by going to our Premier League livescore. There you’ll find live text commentary and updated statistics.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
