Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 22 in the Premier League will draw to a close on Monday night at the Amex, where Brighton & Hove Albion will be playing host to Bournemouth. The Seagulls are in 11th place in the league standings, while the Cherries are 15th after 21 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After failing to win any of their six league games in December (D3 L3), Brighton have made a promising start to the New Year, unbeaten in three in 2026, and into the fourth round of the FA Cup. With the mid-table being tightly compact, three points here will likely take Fabian Hurzeler’s side into the top half of the standings.
Bournemouth, on the other hand, are not in immediate danger of relegation, but the gap to the drop is beginning to narrow. They beat this opponent 2-1 back in September at the Vitality, but have only won three league games since then coming into this one. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.96 | 3.82 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.9 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.9 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Bournemouth match is: over 2.5 & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/01/2026 between Brighton and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.51% for a win of Brighton against Bournemouth with odds of 1.92 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Bournemouth is 34.82% with odds of 4.12 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Brighton with odds of 3.97 at 888Starz.
Brighton vs Bournemouth Form
Brighton and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
29 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +3 |
|
15
|
26 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | -6 |
Brighton and Bournemouth Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Brighton vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Sept 2023 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion return to the south coast following back-to-back successful trips to Manchester in the last 10 days. They held Man City to a 1-1 draw on MD21 before ousting United from the FA Cup 2-1 last weekend.
The Seagulls are now unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions (W2 D2). They scored two or more goals in three of those matches, a notable improvement after only scoring two goals in their four preceding games.
The hosts are also unbeaten in their last three home games and kept clean sheets in their last two. They have also won each of their last four league matches against this opponent at this venue.
Brighton have only failed to score in one of their 10 home league games this season!
Meanwhile, Bournemouth’s FA Cup campaign ended at Newcastle last weekend after a marathon penalty shootout. However, they did bring an end to their 11-match winless run in the Prem by beating Spurs at home three days earlier.
High-scoring games have become common for the Cherries. Across their last seven matches in all competitions, a total of 33 goals have been scored - that is an average of 4.7 goals per 90.
Each of the visitors' last nine away games have produced 4+ goals, though they did not win any of those matches (D4 L5). They also conceded two or more goals in three of their last four visits to this venue.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Players list
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
O. Boscagli
J. Veltman
D. Coppola
MidfielderP. Gross
B. Gruda
J. Hinshelwood
D. Gomez
ForwardG. Rutter
D. Welbeck
D. Petrovic
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
J. Hill
J. Soler
MidfielderD. Brooks
L. Cook
A. Scott
ForwardE. Unal
E. Kroupi
A. Adli
Substitutes
B. Verbruggen
DefenderL. Dunk
J. Van Hecke
MidfielderK. Mitoma
C. Tasker
Y. Ayari
H. Howell
ForwardC. Kostoulas
T. Watson
F. Forster
DefenderM. Senesi
A. Jimenez
A. Truffert
MidfielderM. Tavernier
V. Milosavljevic
ForwardR. Rees-Dottin
Evanilson
M. DaCosta
Missing players
A. Webster
MidfielderS. March
M. Wieffer
ForwardY. Minteh
S. Tzimas
W. Dennis
DefenderM. Akinmboni
MidfielderT. Adams
B. Doak
ForwardR. Christie
E. Unal
J. Kluivert
Brighton & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Danny Welbeck scored the winner and produced a Player of the Match performance against his former club in the FA Cup last weekend, which could earn him a spot in the starting 11 for this match.
If that is to be the case, Georgino Rutter could move back into the number 10 role, while Kaoru Mitoma will likely be brought back onto the left wing after starting on the bench last weekend.
Carlos Baleba has returned from the AFCON, while Yankuba Minteh has shaken off a knock, and both players are in contention for selection. Mats Wieffer, Solly March and Adam Webster are ruled out through injury.
Danny Welbeck scored the winner in this fixture last season!
Following the departure of Antoine Semenyo, Eli Kroupi is expected to have a bigger role to play for Bournemouth for the remainder of the season. He started and scored against Spurs on MD21, taking his tally for the season to seven goals in 16 league appearances.
Alex Toth is expected to arrive at the club imminently from Lorient, which will make him the Cherries’ third signing this month after Fraser Forster and highly-rated 17-year-old Ade Solanke.
Andoni Iraola has a lengthy absentee list at present, with Enes Unal, Justin Kluivert, Ryan Christie, Tyler Adams, Ben Doak and Matai Akinmboni all sidelined through injury.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Bournemouth
D. Welbeck
(8 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(7 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(3 Assists)
,
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Wieffer
(3 Assists)
M. Senesi
(4 Assists)
Brighton and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League
Brighton - Bournemouth Key Points
- Four of Brighton’s last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton have scored two or more goals in seven of their last nine home games.
- Each of Bournemouth’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in each of Bournemouth’s last nine away games.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last five matches between these sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction
Brighton will be looking to build on their momentum after defeating Man United in the FA Cup last weekend, but while they are trending upward, they do need to tighten up in defence, having only kept one clean sheet in their last five games.
As for Bournemouth, scoring goals has not been an issue for them lately, but keeping them out has been. The last seven games involving the Cherries have averaged a whopping 4.7 goals, and given these sides’ recent results, we could see a handful hit the back of the net in this one. Our Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS.
Brighton vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Brighton wins
Brighton are undefeated in their last four games across all competitions and have beaten this opponent in their last four matches at this venue. Bournemouth have only won one of their last 13 games across all competitions.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brighton vs. Bournemouth game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Brighton and Bournemouth? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Brighton vs Bournemouth - FAQs
The Premier League match between Brighton and Bournemouth will take place on January 19 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Bournemouth will be played at the Amex Stadium in Brighton.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Bournemouth will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
