France - Ligue 1
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Brest will hope to get their first win of the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season when they host Paris FC in a matchday four fixture on Sunday. This match at Stade Francis-Le Ble between the 17th-placed Les Pirates and the 16th-placed Les Bleus comes with our prediction of a home win.
With one point (D1, L2), Brest are only marginally above the basement club Metz. Paris have three points (W1, L2) and are just above their hosts, starting this round in the relegation play-off spot.
Brest lost 3-1 away at Lens in a game where they were leading 1-0 until the 60th minute. A red card suspension in the 55th minute changed the course of the game as they collapsed to a 3-1 defeat.
This was their second loss in a row, followed by a 2-0 defeat at Toulouse on matchday two. That erased the positives of a 3-3 home draw on matchday one against Lille at this venue.
Paris also came back from a goal down to win 3-2 at home against Metz in their last match before the international break. It ended a two-game losing streak for the newly promoted side.
They were beaten 1-0 by Angers and 5-2 by Marseille on matchdays one and two. With both those losses coming on the road, Paris’ ability away from home remains a concern.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Paris FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.7 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Paris FC match is: Brest wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Brest and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.99% for a win of Brest against Paris FC with odds of 2.35 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Paris FC is 27.22% with odds of 3.7 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Brest with odds of 3.4 at 888Starz.
Brest vs Paris FC Form
Brest and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
|
17
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
Brest and Paris FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 2
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2025 - Ligue 2
Brest vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Jan 2019 - Ligue 2
10 Aug 2018 - Ligue 2
24 Feb 2018 - Ligue 2
Brest vs Paris FC last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
B. Chardonnet
MidfielderH. Magnetti
O. Nkambadio
DefenderS. Alakouch
ForwardA. Gory
P. Hamel
Most goals and assists
Brest
Paris FC
K. Doumbia
(2 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(3 Goals)
K. Lala
(1 Assists)
,
K. Doumbia
(1 Assists)
M. Lopez
(1 Assists)
,
I. Kebbal
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Simon
(1 Assists)
Brest - Paris FC Key Points
- Paris lost two of their three league matches this season.
- Both those defeats have come away from home.
- Brest won three of their last five home league matches, losing only once.
- Brest kept a clean sheet in two of their last three home Ligue 1 matches.
- Brest won six of their last seven home Ligue 1 matches against promoted sides (W6, D1).
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Our Brest vs Paris FC Prediction
Paris FC created history of sorts in the last round when they won 3-2 at home against Metz. That was their first win in the French top-flight competition for 46 years, but there’s a lot to do to continue that momentum. Paris have lost both their away matches in this campaign, while Brest have an impressive record at home against promoted teams.
That could come to their rescue and land their first win of the season. Our Brest vs Paris FC prediction is Brest wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brest vs. Paris FC game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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