Brest vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Kennedy Kechula | in Ligue 1 Prediction
Second in Ligue 1 Brest will face second from bottom Metz in their next league game, scheduled for this Sunday. While Brest are 12 points behind league leaders PSG, Metz are four points behind the safety line. The two sides had mixed results ahead of this game but three points will be the target here. Brest are coming from a 1-0 win over another relegation-threatened side, Lorient. The match had late drama as Romain Del Castillo scored in the 86th minute and minutes later Bilal Brahimi was sent off. A more comfortable outing will be desirable for Brest, having scored late goals in the last two games. That win was a welcome break for Brest, who had gone winless in the earlier two games. Les Pirates haven't been quite fluid in attack, failing to score more than once in the last four matches. They’ve however done well defensively and that could be all they need to secure an automatic Champions League spot. In the last 10 league matches, they have six clean sheets, while they managed more than a goal in just three of the 10.
In this encounter, Metz will be meeting the best defence in the league so far. It would pose as a tough game as Metz have the second lowest scoring return in the league. A double for Brest seems likely here, after a 1-0 away win in the first meeting. Metz have actually failed to score in the last two meetings with Brest, both matches being decided by a goal. The visitors have however done well in recent matches on the attacking front. At 4-0 down against Monaco in their last league game, they threatened a comeback, but it would end in a 5-2 home loss. That marked a fifth straight league game in which they managed to score. In the last 16 league matches, Metz managed four wins; all of those came against sides 14th or lower. This will be a tougher encounter, but that doesn’t diminish the fact they badly need three points for their survival quest.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Metz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 3.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4 | 8 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.9 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.1 | 7.25 |
|
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Who will win the Brest vs Metz Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Brest and Metz of Ligue 1 on 4/6/24 :
- There is a probability of 65.69% ⭐ for Brest to win this match against Metz ⚽ with odds of 1.53 found at Bet365.
- NetBet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 4.1 which implies a probability of 19.6%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Metz to win the match are about 8 at Betfred. That means a probability of 14.71%.
Brest - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest vs Metz prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brest is favoured to win | 65.69 % | 1.53 |
| Draw | 19.6 % | 4.1 |
| Metz wins the game | 14.71 % | 8 |
Brest vs Metz Form
Brest and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
58 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
|
16
|
29 | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | -21 |
Brest and Metz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
Brest against Metz : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
26 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2020 - Ligue 1
30 Oct 2019 - Coupe de la Ligue
Brest against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
P. Lees Melou
R. Del Castillo
M. Udol
Brest - Metz Key Points
- Brest are the best defensive side in Ligue 1 this season
- Eight of Brest’s last 10 league matches had under 2.5 goals
- Half of Metz’s last 10 league matches produced under 2.5 goals
- Metz’s last five away league games saw a total of 11 goals scored
- In Brest’s last five home league games, only five goals were scored
- Brest scored more than a goal in just one of their last eight league games
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Our Brest vs Metz Prediction
Brest’s success so far this season has been down to solidity in defence. They’ve shown great capability to hold on slim wins and that will be a key quality at this stage of the season. On the other hand, Metz have one of the poorest numbers in attack this season. That isn’t likely to change against the league’s best defence. Our prediction for Brest v Metz is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
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