Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Gtech Community Stadium will host its final match of the Premier League season on Sunday, when Brentford take on Crystal Palace. Recent encounters between the Bees (8th) and the Eagles (15th) have produced few clear-cut chances early on, which leads us to favour a low-scoring first half as our main match prediction.
Following a tough trip to the Etihad last weekend, Keith Andrews’ side slipped out of the automatic European qualification places to eighth, now two points behind Brighton. However, the Bees have been tough to beat at home of late, and they will know this could be their best chance to get back into the top seven, with Liverpool to come on the final day of the season.
Palace also felt the wrath of Man City in midweek, but thanks to West Ham’s defeat last weekend, their top-flight survival is now guaranteed. While three points will be the aim for the Eagles here, their sights are firmly set on the Conference League final, which sees them installed as clear underdogs in this one. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Brentford v Crystal Palace Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.98 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Crystal Palace match is: less than 1.5 goals at half-time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Brentford and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.27% for a win of Brentford against Crystal Palace with odds of 1.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Crystal Palace is 31.62% with odds of 4.27 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Brentford with odds of 4.78 at 888Starz.
Brentford - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 40.27% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.54% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brentford | 15.32% | 5 at Bet365 |
Brentford vs Crystal Palace Form
Brentford and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 |
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
Brentford and Crystal Palace Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Conference League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
Brentford vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
26 Aug 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
Brentford - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
Brentford enter this match off the back of a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City last week, and have now won just one of their last seven Premier League matches since the end of February (D5 L2).
That result marked the fourth time that the Bees conceded two or more goals in their last seven games. They have now shipped 49 goals this term, the second-most of the teams in the top half of the table.
However, the hosts have kept clean sheets in their last two home games and are unbeaten in their last four at the Gtech. They are also unbeaten in their last four against their upcoming opponents at this venue.
Three of the four EPL games between these sides at the Gtech ended with under 2.5 goals!
Meanwhile, Crystal Palace have made clear that their top priority for the remainder of this season is the Conference League, where they are set to face Rayo Vallecano in the final later this month.
In doing so, the Eagles’ league form has taken a hit. Following their loss to the Citizens, Palace are now winless in their last five EPL matches (D2 L3) and have conceded two or more goals in their last four.
However, despite their recent dip in the league, the visitors have kept the third-most clean sheets in the top flight this term (12), only behind the top two teams, Arsenal (18) and Man City (15).
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Brentford against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderE. Pinnock
S. Van den Berg
A. Hickey
MidfielderJ. Henderson
J. Dasilva
K. Schade
K. Furo
R. Nelson
W. Benitez
DefenderC. Richards
N. Clyne
MidfielderJ. Devenny
J. Lerma
W. Hughes
ForwardE. Guessand
B. Johnson
J. Mateta
Missing players
R. Henry
MidfielderF. Carvalho
A. Milambo
B. Sosa
MidfielderC. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
Brentford & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
Igor Thiago slotted home his eighth spot kick of the season - the most in the Prem - against West Ham on MD35. The Brazilian is now on 22 goals for the campaign, four behind top-scorer Erling Haaland.
Andrews opted to deploy Kevin Schade in a more advanced role at the Etihad, with Dango Ouattara dropping to the bench. However, the Burkina Faso international is expected to return to the starting lineup here, likely at the expense of Aaron Hickey.
The Bees came away from their last match with no new injury concerns, meaning only Rico Henry, Fabio Carvalho and Antoni Milambo will miss their final home game of the season.
Thiago has scored four goals in his last four home league matches!
In an effort to keep players fit for the UECL final, Glasner has rotated his squad heavily in recent weeks. That is likely to be the case again here, with Jean-Philippe Mateta and Jefferson Lerma expected to feature on the bench after starting against City.
Ismailla Sarr will likely get the nod to return to the starting 11, though. The AFCON winner has 22 goal contributions this season and scored in each of his last three starts across all competitions.
The visitors are expected to be missing at least four players for this weekend’s match due to injury, including Borna Sosa, Evann Guessand, Eddie Nketiah and Cheick Doucoure.
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Crystal Palace
I. Thiago
(22 Goals)
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
M. Damsgaard
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
Brentford - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Less than two goals were scored in the first half in three of Brentford’s last four league games.
- Brentford have kept clean sheets in their last two home league matches.
- Crystal Palace have kept the third-most clean sheets in the Premier League this season.
- No team has conceded fewer goals in the first 15 minutes of EPL matches this season than Palace (4).
- Less than two goals were scored in the first half in each of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction
With their top-flight survival now guaranteed and a European Cup final on the horizon, Crystal Palace’s main aim will be to come away from this match unscathed, which could lead to a lack of intensity on their part, as we've seen in recent league games.
For European qualification-chasing Brentford, three points are certainly the aim here, but the message from their dugout will likely be one of patience early on, with chances likely to present themselves as the match wears on. Therefore, our Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction is less than 1.5 first-half goals.
Brentford vs Crystal Palace Alternative Predictions
Igor Thiago to score or assist
Igor Tiago has 22 league goals and the second-best xG (0.64) per 90 of any player in the EPL this season. He has netted four goals in his last four home games and is also the team’s first-choice penalty-taker.
Brentford wins
Brentford are unbeaten in their last four home league games, while Crystal Palace are winless in their last five top-flight matches and lost their last three on the road in the EPL.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Crystal Palace
| Brentford vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 1.67 | 1.75 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.27 | +9.5% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 57.1% (-2.7%)
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Brentford vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
The Premier League match between Brentford and Crystal Palace will take place on May 17 at 15:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Crystal Palace will be played at the Gtech Community Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Crystal Palace will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
