Brentford vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Gtech Community Stadium will be abuzz this weekend when Brentford and Brighton & Hove Albion meet for a Matchday 27 battle in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon. The Bees are seventh in the league standings, while the Seagulls are 14th after 26 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After losing the likes of Bryan Mbeumo, Yoanne Wissa and manager Thomas Frank last season, there were understandable concerns that Brentford may struggle in the EPL this term. However, under the guidance of Keith Andrews, the Bees have defied expectations, now seventh in the table and firmly in the picture for European qualification, just five points behind the top four.
In contrast, after a promising start to the season, Fabian Hurzeler is now under enormous pressure. His side is only seven points above the dotted line and now faces the possibility of dropping to 16th place in the standings if they leave the Gtech empty-handed this weekend. It’s a huge three points on the line for these sides - albeit for different reasons. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Brentford v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.11 | 3.65 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.48 | 3.36 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.56 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Brighton match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Brentford and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.92% for a win of Brentford against Brighton with odds of 2.2 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Brighton is 37.62% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Brentford with odds of 3.58 at 888Starz.
Brentford - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 42.92% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 51.92% | 2.15 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brentford | 17.66% | 6 at Bet365 |
Brentford vs Brighton Form
Brentford and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
|
9
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 |
Brentford and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Brentford vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Brentford - Brighton: Form Analysis
Brentford were the latest to contribute to what has already been a thrilling title race by holding leaders Arsenal to a 1-1 draw last week, denying the Gunners the chance to move seven clear at the summit.
The Bees then saw off sixth-tier Macclesfield 1-0 on the road last weekend to book their place in the FA Cup fifth round and are now unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions (W3 D1).
The Gtech has been one of the toughest venues for opposing teams to visit this season, with Brentford losing only two of their 13 league games here to date (W7 D4). They also beat this opponent 4-2 in this fixture last term.
Nine goals have been scored in the last two EPL matches between these sides!
Meanwhile, in the space of four days, Brighton & Hove Albion suffered back-to-back 1-0 losses against Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, which saw them slip a spot to 14th in the league table.
The Seagulls were then hammered 3-0 by Liverpool in the FA Cup at the weekend, marking their third straight match without scoring and sixth game without victory in all competitions (D2 L4).
The visitors have only earned 10 points from their 13 away league games this season (W2 D4 L7) and enter this one winless in their last six on the road (D2 L4), dating back to the end of November.
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Brentford against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderE. Pinnock
N. Collins
Y. Yarmoliuk
R. Donovan
R. Nelson
M. Damsgaard
K. Schade
K. Furo
J. Steele
DefenderM. De Cuyper
O. Boscagli
J. Veltman
H. Howell
C. Baleba
G. Rutter
Y. Minteh
C. Kostoulas
Missing players
J. Dasilva
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
S. Tzimas
Brentford & Brighton Squad Analysis
The long throw has made a resurgence in the Prem this season, and Michael Kayode is Brentford’s biggest weapon in that regard. His missile-like throw-in led to their goal against Arsenal last week, and it was their fourth goal of the season from this type of set-piece.
Igor Thiago has been excellent for the Bees this season, and after scoring five goals in as many games last month, he was named Player of the Month for January and was handed a new contract at the Gtech last week.
The hosts came away from their FA Cup victory over Macclesfield with no new injury issues, meaning only Fabio Carvalho, Josh Dasilva and Antoni Milambo are expected to miss this match.
Danny Welbeck has scored in his last two matches against this opponent!
Welbeck was an unused substitute against Liverpool at the weekend, but after another underwhelming performance from Charalampos Kostoulas in that match, Hurzeler may consider recalling the Englishman to the starting lineup here.
After equalling Gareth Barry’s long-standing record against Villa on MD26, James Milner could become the Premier League’s most-capped player with 654 appearances if he features in this match.
The visitors will be missing at least three players for this fixture through injury in Adam Webster, Solly March and Stefanos Tzimas, while Yasin Ayari and Carlos Baleba are listed as doubts.
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Brighton
I. Thiago
(22 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
M. Damsgaard
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
Brentford - Brighton Key Points
- Brentford have only kept one clean sheet in their last five league games.
- Eight of Brentford’s 13 home league matches this season ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight games in all competitions.
- Five of Brighton’s last seven away matches ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored in the last two EPL matches between these sides.
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Our Brentford vs Brighton Prediction
Brentford have been one of the surprise packages this season, but if they are to secure European football, they will need to tighten up defensively during the run-in, having already conceded 35 league goals this term.
Notably, both these sides have an identical xGA per 90 this season of 1.39, and nine goals were scored between them in their last two league encounters. Based on those numbers, we’re expecting to see goals at both ends in this one. Our Brentford vs Brighton prediction is BTTS.
Brentford vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Both these sides are averaging 1.39 xGA per 90 this season, and five of Brighton’s last seven away games have produced over 2.5 goals. Additionally, three or more goals were scored in each of the last two matches between these sides.
Brentford wins
Brentford are unbeaten in their last four games in all competitions and won this fixture 4-2 last season, while Brighton are now winless in their last six league matches (D3 L3).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Brighton
| Brentford vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.75 | +13.6% |
| Brighton wins | 3.1 | 3.58 | +15.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 45.5% (0.0%)
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Brentford vs Brighton - FAQs
The Premier League match between Brentford and Brighton will take place on February 21 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Brighton will be played at the Gtech Community Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Brighton will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
