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Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 34 USA
Brandon Nakashima
05/07/2025 09:15
ATP 47 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego

Prediction :

 

Brandon Nakashima wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions

 For the third time, Brandon Nakashima will be competing in the third round at Wimbledon. He faces Lorenzo Sonego in a bid to set a new high at this stage. This match will mark their second meeting, and the winner will face Ben Shelton or Marton Fucsovics. Read on for our prediction.

These two players haven't had much trouble in the opening rounds. Nakashima is coming from wins against Bu Yunchaokete and Reilly Opelka, dropping one set in each.

He is riding on good form on grass, which currently stands at 6-2 for the season. It is a remarkable improvement for a player who came from a losing run on clay.

Sonego has had a far shakier campaign. The Italian saw off Jaime Faria in the first round with ease but had sticky moments before he could manage the second-round win against Nikoloz Basilashvili.

Sonego finished the clay swing on a 1-5 record and had compiled an 8-8 run on hard courts. It leaves him on a losing record even as he is 4-3 on grass. Such inconsistency has cost him dearly.

Before arriving in London, the 30-year-old hadn’t been able to win back-to-back matches in 17 straight outings. The last time that actually happened, he had benefitted from a walkover as Luka van Assche withdrew in Marseille.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brandon Nakashima v Lorenzo Sonego Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.5 2.63
William Hill
1.53 2.5
Betway
1.45 2.75
Ladbrokes
1.48 2.5
Unibet
1.52 2.55
Check all Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego odds
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Who will win the Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego match is: Brandon Nakashima wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego game on 05/07/2025 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:

  • Brandon Nakashima has a 51.58% chance to win against Lorenzo Sonego according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.56.
  • Lorenzo Sonego has a 48.42% probability of winning facing Brandon Nakashima ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Betway.

Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Brandon Nakashima has a 51.58 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Brandon Nakashima51.58 %
Lorenzo Sonego48.42 %

Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Form

Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego Last Matches

Brandon Nakashima Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  1
Reilly Opelka

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  1
Yunchaokete Bu

20 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Brandon Nakashima
1 :  2
Jack Draper

18 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Daniel Evans
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

17 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

13 Jun 2025 - ATP Stuttgart Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima
Lorenzo Sonego Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Sonego
3 :  1
Nikoloz Basilashvili

1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jaime Faria
0 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

25 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

23 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Fabian Marozsan
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

19 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev

17 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Jan-Lennard Struff

Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

30 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima
Compare Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego with our comparison tool.

Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points

  1. Nakashima has six wins in his last eight matches.
  2. Nakashima has eight wins in the third round this season.
  3. Sonego has suffered six defeats in his last 10 matches.
  4. Sonego has three more losses than Nakashima at Wimbledon.
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Our Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Nakashima has put up a good run on grass and will come into this match on a confident footing. He advanced to the fourth round at Wimbledon in 2022 but failed to go past the third last season. Being the player with the better form here, he will also be out to avenge the loss in his only previous meeting with Sonego.

Meanwhile, the Italian is on a poor run and hasn’t managed three straight wins since January. In his current form, he may struggle here. Our prediction for Brandon Nakashima v Lorenzo Sonego is that Brandon Nakashima wins the match. 

Prediction :

 

Brandon Nakashima wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
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