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25 January 2024 - 14:45 

- R.4

England - FA Cup

Bournemouth
VS
Swansea

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Bournemouth vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

 by Ian John | in FA Cup Prediction

The first FA Cup Fourth Round tie of the week sees Bournemouth host Swansea in what should be a competitive battle between two teams. Bournemouth looked dead and buried in their FA Cup Third Round tie with Queens Park Rangers, going in at the break 2-0 down to their hosts. However, three second half goals in 21 minutes put the Cherries  in front and they hung on to move into the draw for the next round. Swansea had an easier time of it, as they drew Morecambe at home and landed a 2-0 victory at the Swansea.com Stadium, Arsenal loanee Charlie Patino scoring the first and Jerry Yates adding a second late on. 

That is about as far as the good news goes for Swansea fans in terms of this fixture though. The Seans have won just one of the last 14 games beteen the two, and that came well back in October 2007. In recent times, Bournemouth have held the upper hand recording wins of 3-0 and 4-0 at home and a 3-2 away win in the League Cup in August this year. The Swans best result in this period was a home 3-3 draw with Bournemouth in April 2022. 

In terms of recent form, Bournemouth have lost recently to Tottenham (3-1 away) and Liverpool (0-4 at home) but before that they had been on a seven-game unbeaten run which included 6 wins, a run which moved them away from the drop zone. Javier Iraola took a while to get the team set up in his own image, but there have certainly been plenty of evidence over the last few months that the Cherries are now starting to match their managers expectations.

Swansea are unbeaten in between two heavy defeats to Southampton (a 5-0 loss on Boxing Day and a 3-1 loss last weekend). In the four games in between they have drawn two away (at Coventry and Swansea) as well as winning two at home. Head Coach Luke Williams team lie 16th in the Championship and are ten points outside the playoff places. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Swansea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.22 6.5 13
NetBet
1.19 6.3 11.5
Check all Bournemouth vs Swansea odds
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Who will win the Bournemouth vs Swansea Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Bournemouth and Swansea of FA Cup on 1/25/24 :

  • There is a probability of 50.93% ⭐ for Bournemouth to win this match against Swansea ⚽ with odds of 1.22 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 6.5 which implies a probability of 27.18%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Swansea to win the match are about 13 at Bet365. That means a probability of 21.89%.

Bournemouth - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:

Bournemouth vs Swansea prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Bournemouth  is favoured to win50.93 %1.22
Draw27.18 %6.5
Swansea wins the game21.89 %13

Bournemouth vs Swansea Form

Bournemouth and Swansea Last Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
1.83
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

21 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  4
Liverpool

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

QPR
2 :  3
Bournemouth

31 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Bournemouth

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  0
Fulham

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Bournemouth

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Bournemouth
Swansea
Swansea Last matches
L D W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  3
Southampton

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  2
Swansea

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Swansea
2 :  0
Morecambe

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
West Brom

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Coventry City
2 :  2
Swansea

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  0
Swansea

Bournemouth against Swansea : Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

67 %

Draw

33 %

Swansea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
17%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

29 Aug 2023 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
2 :  3
Bournemouth

6 Nov 2021 - Championship

Bournemouth
4 :  0
Swansea

16 Mar 2021 - Championship

Bournemouth
3 :  0
Swansea

8 Dec 2020 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Bournemouth

25 Nov 2017 - Premier League

Swansea
0 :  0
Bournemouth

18 Mar 2017 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Swansea
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Players list

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

M. Kerkez

M. Senesi

I. Zabarnyi

G. Kilkenny

Midfielder

D. Sadi

L. Cook

R. Christie

M. Tavernier

Forward

K. Moore

L. Sinisterra

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

A. Fisher

Defender

K. Naughton

N. Wood

B. Humphreys

F. Lissah

Midfielder

O. Cooper

J. Fulton

Y. Bolasie

M. Grimes

Forward

J. Yates

J. Paterson

Substitutes

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

A. Radu

Defender

C. Mepham

Midfielder

M. Tavernier

D. Brooks

M. Kerkez

L. Kelly

G. Kilkenny

J. Hill

Forward

A. Semenyo

K. Moore

D. Solanke

J. Kluivert

D. Sadi

A. Scott

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

C. Rushworth

Defender

N. Ogbeta

H. Darling

K. Pedersen

Midfielder

O. Cooper

J. Allen

F. Lissah

H. Ashby

Forward

M. Kukharevych

Y. Bolasie

C. Patino

J. Paterson

L. Cullen

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

R. Fredericks

C. Mepham

Midfielder

R. Faivre

Forward

L. Sinisterra

Swansea
Swansea

Bournemouth - Swansea Key Points

  1. Eight of Bournemouth's last nine games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Eleven of Swansea's last 14 games have seen both teams score, including both their last two league games.
  3. This season 50% of Bournemouth's games and 60% of Swansea's games have seen both team's score and Over 2.5 goals scored.
  4. The last 11 games between Bournemouth and Swansea have seen 7 with over 2.5 goals scored.
  5. The two most recent games between the two have seen both teams score - A 3-2 Bournemouth win in the league cup and a 3-3 draw in the League last season.
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Our Bournemouth vs Swansea Prediction

Although there are a number of places in the English pyramid between Bournemouth and Swansea, the two teams are pretty close in terms of quality. What the stats tend to show though is that both teams are liable to concede goals, as well as score them and that fairly often you will find their games see over 2.5 goals scored. As such, that makes the pick a lot easier to whittle down from the available options. Our pick for Bournemouth v Swansea therefore is for both teams to score in the game and there to be over 2.5 goals scored in the match as a whole. Bournemouth should win, but don't be too surprised if this one goes to a replay.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!
Bournemouth vs Swansea Prediction

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