Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Sunderland will trade the Wearside winds for the south coast sea breeze when they make the long trip to the Vitality Stadium to face Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday. The Cherries are eighth in the league standings, while the Black Cats are 12th after 27 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Andoni Iraola’s side return to their home patch in great shape after a couple of away games in which they moved up to eighth place with 38 points, now two behind seventh-placed Brentford. As it stands, the Cherries have the second-longest unbeaten run in the EPL (7), only behind the resurgent Manchester United (10).
In contrast, Regis Le Bris’ side are trending in the opposite direction, having slipped to 12th place following three consecutive defeats - as many as they had lost in their 12 preceding top-flight matches. Still, three points here will take the Black Cats above their opponents in the standings - let’s get into the key stats!
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Bournemouth v Sunderland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.74 | 3.95 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.92 | 4.64 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Sunderland match is: Bournemouth wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Bournemouth and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.83% for a win of Bournemouth against Sunderland with odds of 1.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Sunderland is 31.72% with odds of 4.07 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Bournemouth with odds of 4.83 at 888Starz.
Bournemouth - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 45.83% | 1.78 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.03% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bournemouth/Bournemouth | 19.67% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Form
Bournemouth and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
Bournemouth and Sunderland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Apr 2017 - Premier League
5 Nov 2016 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Sunderland: Form Analysis
Bournemouth were held to a frustrating goalless draw by West Ham United last week, but that result extended their unbeaten run in the EPL to seven matches, including four wins and three draws.
It was the first time the Cherries had failed to find the net in their last 13 matches across all competitions. They have scored 43 league goals to date, the most outside of the top five teams in the division.
The hosts have earned 23 points from 13 home league games this season and are unbeaten in their last three. Their only loss at the Vitality since the start of December was against league leaders Arsenal.
Bournemouth have scored two or more goals in three of their last four home league games!
Meanwhile, Sunderland have been the pick of the newly promoted teams this term, but they will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat here after their 3-1 loss to Fulham at home last weekend.
That was the first time that the Black Caps had conceded three goals at the Stadium of Light this season, but it was the third time in the last five league matches that they shipped three.
The visitors’ greatest strength has been their home form this term. On the road, they have taken only 10 points from 13 away league games and enter this fixture winless in their last eight outings (D3 L5).
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Bournemouth against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
C. Mandas
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
MidfielderA. Toth
V. Milosavljevic
R. Christie
Evanilson
A. Adli
E. Unal
M. Ellborg
DefenderJ. Jones
MidfielderC. Rigg
H. Jones
L. O'Nien
ForwardN. Angulo
M. Aleksic
W. Isidor
B. Traore
Missing players
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
J. Kluivert
ForwardB. Gannon-Doak
R. Mandava
MidfielderJ. Bi
ForwardB. Brobbey
Bournemouth & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Marcus Tavernier made his return to the Bournemouth squad last weekend after a month out with a hamstring injury. He got 10 minutes under his belt and is in contention to start this match.
Brazilian attacker Rayan drew a blank for the first time since arriving at the Vitality in the winter window last week. However, he was a whisker away from scoring one of the goals of the season and is one to watch in this match.
With Tavernier and Tyler Adams back in action, the hosts now have just four players ruled out through injury, including Ben Doak, Julius Soler, Lewis Cook, and long-term absentee Justin Kluivert.
Eli Junior Kroupi has the best shot conversion in the EPL this season (31%)!
Sunderland were able to welcome the influential Granit Xhaka back to their squad last week. He came on as a sub in the second half, and Le Bris will be hoping for a few more minutes from hsi skipper in this match.
Enzo Le Fee scored the Black Cats’ only goal last week, taking his tally to eight goal contributions in the league this term, including a goal and an assist in the reverse fixture back in November.
Nordi Mukiele and Jocelin Ta Bi were forced off in the first half against Fulham and are doubts for this match, along with centre-forward Brian Brobbey. Reinildo and Bertrand Traore are ruled out.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Sunderland
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
Bournemouth - Sunderland Key Points
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last seven league matches.
- Bournemouth have scored two or more goals in three of their last four home matches.
- Sunderland are on a three-match losing run.
- Sunderland are winless in their last eight away league matches.
- Sunderland have conceded three goals in each of their last three away league games.
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Our Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction
Bournemouth are one of the form teams in the Premier League at present, having avoided defeat in their last seven games, which is the second-longest active unbeaten run in the division behind Man United.
In contrast, Sunderland are now on a three-match losing streak in the top flight, and their away record this season (W2 D4 L7) does little to inspire much confidence in their chances of pulling off an against-the-odds victory in this one. Our Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction is Bournemouth wins.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Bournemouth have scored two or more goals in three of their last four home league games, while Sunderland have conceded three in each of their last three EPL away matches. Additionally, five goals were scored in the reverse fixture back in November.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Sunderland
| Bournemouth vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 2.02 | 1.78 | -11.9% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.07 | +10.0% |
| Sunderland wins | 4.01 | 4.83 | +20.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bournemouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 49.5% and is now 56.2% (6.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Bournemouth vs. Sunderland game
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Bournemouth vs Sunderland - FAQs
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Sunderland will take place on February 28 at 12:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Sunderland will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Sunderland will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
