Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Before the Premier League pauses for the international break, Bournemouth are braced for a mouth-watering Matchday 31 battle against Manchester United at the Vitality on Friday night. The Cherries are 10th in the league standings, while the Red Devils are in third place after 30 games. Check out our match prediction below!
If this match pans out anything like the reverse fixture, we’re in for an incredible start to the weekend. Andoni Iraola’s side came back from a goal down three times in the eight-goal thriller at Old Trafford in December - since then, they have only lost two top-flight games and enter this one unbeaten in 10.
As for Man United, barring a blip against Newcastle at the start of the month, the Red Devils have been red-hot under Michael Carrick. Since his return to the helm in January, no team in England’s top-tier has won more EPL games or points than the 20-time champions, and a win here could see them head into the international break just four points off their noisy neighbours. To the key stats!
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Bournemouth v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.17 | 3.7 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.22 | 3.74 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.8 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.7 | 2.08 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Manchester United match is: Manchester United draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2026 between Bournemouth and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.47% for a win of Bournemouth against Manchester United with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Manchester United is 44.34% with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.2 at Stake.
Bournemouth - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.34% | 3.9 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 78.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.13% | 7 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Form
Bournemouth and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
Bournemouth and Manchester United Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Bournemouth were left disappointed last week after failing to score a goal against relegation candidates Burnley as they were forced to leave Turf Moor with a goalless draw - their third in four games.
While that was the fourth stalemate in succession for the Cherries, it did extend their unbeaten league run to 10 games (W4 D6), and marked their fourth clean sheet in their last seven top-flight matches.
The hosts have also avoided defeat in each of their last five home matches (W2 D3) and have earned 25 of their 41 points this season at the Vitality. The only team to leave this venue with three points in 2026 was Arsenal.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five EPL games against this opponent!
Meanwhile, after a disappointing loss at St. James’ Park, Manchester United bounced back with an impressive 3-1 victory over Aston Villa, which strengthened their UCL qualification hopes last week.
The Red Devils have lost only one of their last 10 league games (W7 D2) and scored two or more goals in seven matches during this period. However, they have conceded 41 this term - the most of the top six teams in the division.
The defeat to the Magpies also ended United’s five-game unbeaten run on the road (W2 D3), but they have not suffered defeat in their last three league visits to this venue (W1 D2).
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Bournemouth against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Mandas
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
MidfielderA. Toth
V. Milosavljevic
D. Brooks
B. Gannon-Doak
E. Kroupi
E. Unal
A. Bayindir
DefenderT. Fredricson
A. Heaven
T. Malacia
MidfielderT. Fletcher
M. Ugarte
M. Mount
J. Zirkzee
B. Sesko
Missing players
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
T. Adams
J. Kluivert
M. de Ligt
P. Dorgu
Bournemouth & Manchester United Squad Analysis
In an attempt to address his side’s lack of goals in recent weeks, Iraola opted to bring Eli Junior Kroupi back into the starting lineup for the last match, but the Frenchman failed to register a single shot on target.
One player that will be hoping to make an impact here is Tyler Adams, who has been linked with a move to Old Trafford at the end of this season as a potential replacement for the departing Casemiro.
The hosts have four players ruled out through injury at present, including Lewis Cooke, Julio Soler, Justin Kluivert and the highly-rated American teenager Matai Akinmboni.
Bruno Fernandes now holds the record for the most assists by a United player in an EPL season (16)!
Fernandes reached the incredible milestone last week, when he notched up two assists in the victory over the Villans. He now has 18 goal contributions in his last 15 league games, and has been involved in eight goals in his last eight matches against this opponent.
Carrick will be faced with another tough decision up top after Benjamin Sesko once again came off the bench to score last week. The Slovenian is fancied to get the nod from the start here, potentially replacing Bryan Mbeumo, who sustained a minor knock in the last match.
With Mason Mount and Tyrell Malacia recently cleared fit, the visitors now have just three injury absentees - all defensive - in Matthjis de Ligt, Lisandro Martinez and Patrick Dorgu.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Manchester United
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Bournemouth - Manchester United Key Points
- Bournemouth are winless in their last three home games.
- Bournemouth have failed to score in three of their last four league matches.
- Manchester United have won seven of their last nine league games (D1 L1).
- Manchester United have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 league matches.
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last three league games at this venue.
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Our Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction
Following their disappointment against Newcastle, Manchester United responded with a mightily impressive showing against Aston Villa last week and have been the best team in the top flight since the turn of the year.
The Vitality has not been an easy place to visit this season, but goals have dried up for Bournemouth in recent weeks, with three of their last four games ending goalless. We fancy the Red Devils in this one, but with favourable odds available, we will opt for the safety of our money back for the draw result as our primary wager. Our Bournemouth vs Manchester United prediction is Manchester United draw no bet.
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Bruno Fernandes to score or assist
Manchester United’s captain is enjoying an incredible run of form and has recorded 18 goal contributions in his last 15 league games. He has also scored four goals and assisted a further four in his last eight EPL matches against this opponent.
Manchester United wins
Manchester United have won seven of their last nine league games and are unbeaten in their last three at this venue, while Bournemouth are winless in their last four top-flight matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Manchester United
| Bournemouth vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 2.9 | 3.4 | +17.2% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Manchester United wins | 2.18 | 2.2 | +0.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 25.6% (-1.4%)
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Bournemouth vs Manchester United - FAQs
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Manchester United will take place on March 20 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Manchester United will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Manchester United will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
