Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 23 in the English Premier League sees Bournemouth hosting Liverpool at the Vitality Stadium in Saturday’s late kickoff. The Cherries are 14th in the standings while the Reds are in fourth place. Read on for our match prediction!
Bournemouth are looking to snap out of the rut that they’ve been in since November, which has seen them freefall down the standings. The hosts still have a comfortable 10-point buffer over the relegation zone but the last thing they’ll want to deal with is a relegation scrap in the final weeks of the season.
Liverpool, meanwhile, sit 14 points behind leaders Arsenal and hold a slim one-point lead over Manchester United in the battle for the top four. Liverpool have had their way with Bournemouth in recent meetings, winning the last six straight across all competitions and scoring 18 goals in the process. The reverse fixture, the first match of the 2025-26 EPL season, saw a thrilling 4-2 shootout in favour of Liverpool, although the match was tied at 2-2 heading into the 88th minute. Will we see another high-scoring spectacle on Saturday?
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Bournemouth v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 4.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.86 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.78 | 4 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.2 | 4 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.85 | 1.87 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Liverpool match is: Bournemouth or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Bournemouth and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 9.88% for a win of Bournemouth against Liverpool with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Liverpool is 43.14% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Bournemouth with odds of 1.92 at 888Starz.
Bournemouth - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 46.98% | 1.92 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.95% | 1.55 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 25.63% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Form
Bournemouth and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
Bournemouth and Liverpool Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2024 - Premier League
21 Jan 2024 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
19 Aug 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Bournemouth comes into this match off the back of an away draw with Brighton on Monday. They were on track to pull off a much-needed away victory but conceded a stoppage time equaliser to finish 1-1.
They’ve now taken four points from the last six available in the Premier League but had previously been on an 11-match winless run. Across all competitions, the hosts have managed just a single victory in their last 13 outings, a 3-2 home win over Tottenham.
The Cherries have put up much more of a fight on home soil, where they’ve been beaten only twice in 11 league fixtures (W5, D4).
The last time Liverpool drew five consecutive league matches was in 1980.
An encouraging performance in the south of France on Wednesday saw Liverpool walk away with a 3-0 win over Marseille in the Champions League. The Reds are now on a 13-match unbeaten run across all competitions, although fans will be frustrated with the high number of draws during that stretch.
Liverpool looked like they were heading to a victory at home over Burnley in their last league outing before being pegged back in the second half by Marcus Edwards. The 1-1 draw was the fourth in a row for Arne Slot’s men in the EPL, meaning that the visitors have now won only four of their last 10 in the league (D6).
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Bournemouth against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
F. Forster
DefenderB. Diakite
MidfielderM. Dacosta
A. Toth
V. Milosavljevic
R. Christie
D. Sadi
R. Rees-Dottin
E. Unal
G. Mamardashvili
F. Woodman
DefenderC. Ramsay
A. Robertson
C. Jones
T. Nyoni
W. Endo
H. Ekitike
R. Ngumoha
Missing players
W. Dennis
DefenderJ. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderT. Adams
J. Kluivert
M. Tavernier
ForwardB. Gannon-Doak
I. Konate
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderF. Chiesa
Bournemouth & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola has a lengthy injury list to deal with ahead of this match. This includes a fresh injury to attacking midfielder Marcus Tavernier which occurred in the Brighton game.
Tavernier will be joined in the treatment room by David Brooks, Justin Kluivert, Tyler Adams, Enes Unal, Will Dennis and Ben Doak.
One player that is set to benefit from Antoine Semenyo’s big-money move to Manchester City is Eli Junior Kroupi. The 19-year-old is set for a more prominent role in the team and has already been turning heads this season.
Kroupi leads Bournemouth in shots on target per 90 (1.53) and expected goals per 90 (0.52).
He’s scored seven times in 642 EPL minutes for a return of 0.98 goals per 90 minutes.
The visitors have four names on the injury report for the trip to Bournemouth: Conor Bradley (knee), Alexander Isak (leg), Giovanni Leoni (ACL) and Stefan Bajcetic (hamstring). There’s a doubt around the fitness of Federico Chiesa, while Ibrahima Konate is expected to return to the starting 11 after missing the midweek fixture for personal reasons.
Dominik Szoboszlai continued his fine performances in France in midweek, scoring a cheeky free kick goal that went under the Marseille wall. He’s been Liverpool’s most consistent player this season, chipping in with seven goals and five assists in 30 appearances while having covered multiple positions.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Liverpool
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Bournemouth - Liverpool Key Points
- Bournemouth have won or drawn in nine of their 11 home matches this season in the EPL (81.8%).
- Liverpool have managed to win just four of their 11 away league fixtures (36.4%).
- The visitors have failed to win in their last four consecutive Premier League matches.
- Across all competitions, Bournemouth have lost only twice in their last nine appearances after 90 minutes.
- Liverpool have averaged just 0.78 expected goals in their last three away league matches.
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Our Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction
Liverpool come into this match as favourites but have failed to convince in recent Premier League outings. This is especially the case on the road, where they’ve won just four times in 11 attempts.
Bournemouth haven’t been on the best run, but they’re a more than capable side at the Vitality Stadium. They gave Arsenal, Tottenham and Chelsea all tough matches in recent weeks, walking away with a result against the latter two. We believe the hosts are being undervalued by the oddsmakers here. Our Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction: Bournemouth or draw.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Liverpool
| Bournemouth vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 3.6 | 4.4 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.2 | +9.1% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.5% and is now 52.1% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
