Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Can Bournemouth qualify for European football next season? The Cherries are eighth in the Premier League and on Wednesday have a home match against 15th placed Leeds United. The Whites are in form and we'll tell you more about that in our match prediction below.
Last week saw the announcement that Bournemouth's head coach Andoni Iraola will be leaving the Cherries at the end of the season. That didn't affect them much at the weekend as they won 2-1 at Newcastle United. They ended the weekend in eighth place and that could be enough to qualify them for a first European campaign. Bournemouth are only behind seventh on goal difference.
Leeds United also won at the weekend with a 3-0 home win over Wolves. The Whites are eight points above the relegation zone and another season in the Premier League is looking on the cards. They are on a good unbeaten run at present and at the weekend travel to Wembley to take on Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-finals. Will their minds be on that match now their chances of avoiding the drop are looking high?
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Bournemouth v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.98 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.62 | 3.82 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.6 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.55 | 3.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Leeds match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/04/2026 between Bournemouth and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.38% for a win of Bournemouth against Leeds with odds of 2.05 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Leeds is 56.98% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Bournemouth with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
Bournemouth - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 56.98% | 3.75 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.43% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 79.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 20.73% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Leeds Form
Bournemouth and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Bournemouth and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Leeds: Form Analysis
Bournemouth have had two excellent recent away wins. Victories have come at Arsenal and at the weekend, Newcastle United. Both teams scored in each of those two games.
The Cherries last lost a league fixture against Arsenal and are unbeaten in their last 13 in the top flight, six at the Vitality Stadium. Only two home league fixtures have been lost by them this season but eight have ended in a draw. That might prove costly at the end of the season.
Both teams have scored in seven of their last eight games at home.
Leeds are looking safe from relegation.
Leeds United have been down towards the bottom of the Premier League all season. The Whites are eight points clear of the bottom three and probably need one more victory to ensure they play top flight football next term.
They have also won their last two league games, most recently beating Wolves at the weekend. They are unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions. Scoring had been a problem earlier this year but they have scored at least twice in each of their last three fixtures.
On the road, Leeds have only won two league games but seven have been drawn. Eight of their last nine away league matches have seen both teams score. The reverse fixture against Bournemouth ended in a 2-2 draw in September.
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Bournemouth against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
C. Mandas
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
MidfielderT. Adams
A. Toth
A. Adli
Rayan
E. Unal
B. Doak
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Rodon
S. Bornauw
MidfielderS. Longstaff
F. Buonanotte
ForwardG. Wilfried
D. James
L. Nmecha
J. Piroe
Missing players
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
J. Kluivert
A. Stach
Bournemouth & Leeds Squad Analysis
The big news coming from Bournemouth on Monday was the confirmation of their new head coach for next season. Marco Rose will be taking over at the Vitality Stadium in the summer but will he need to prepare for a season that includes European football?
The Cherries have never previously qualified for Europe but have a good chance of doing so in the next few weeks.
Marcus Tavernier has never played for Leeds but he was born in that city. He was on target against Newcastle at the weekend and that made it six league goals this term. Bournemouth will be without Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook for this game against Leeds on Wednesday.
Will Leeds have Wembley on their minds?
Leeds United also have a chance of playing in European competition next season. They face a tougher task though as the Whites will need to win the FA Cup. They are in good form at present but are unlikely to make too many changes ahead of this weekend's FA Cup semi-final.
Noah Okafor is in excellent scoring form for United but is prone to suffering injuries. It is possible Leeds may decide to give him a rest ahead of the big match at Wembley. Lukas Nmecha is a likely replacement with Sean Longstaff another who could come into the starting XI.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Leeds
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Bournemouth - Leeds Key Points
- Both teams have scored in seven of Bournemouth's last eight home games.
- The reverse fixture ended 2-2.
- That made it six of the last seven games between these two clubs to see both teams score.
- Eight of the last nine Leeds away matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction
Both of these clubs are in good form at present. Bournemouth may be about to lose their coach but he may well depart after taking the Cherries into Europe for the first time. They are on a long unbeaten run at present but do draw too many games.
Leeds United are looking very likely to retain their place in the Premier League. They also have an FA Cup semi-final to play this weekend. Their form is also strong and their away form has improved. Our main Bournemouth v Leeds prediction is BTTS.
Bournemouth vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Leeds
| Bournemouth vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 1.99 | 2.05 | +3.0% |
| Draw | 3.81 | 3.75 | -1.6% |
| Leeds wins | 4.01 | 3.95 | -1.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.2% and is now 26.7% (0.4%)
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Bournemouth vs Leeds - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
