Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa will take a trip to the South Coast this weekend for a Matchday 25 Premier League clash against Bournemouth on Saturday afternoon. The Cherries are in 12th place in the league standings, while the Villans are third after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Andoni Iraola’s side is enjoying a nice run of form coming into this fixture, and a victory here will likely see them end the weekend back in the top half of the standings. Over the past four gameweeks, the Cherries have earned the joint-most points in the EPL (10), which has got them back in contention to challenge for a spot in Europe.
Unai Emery’s charges, on the other hand, suffered a rare home loss on MD24, which saw them slip seven points behind league leaders Arsenal. However, they will fancy their chances of bouncing back to winning ways here, having beaten this opponent comprehensively 4-0 in the reverse fixture back in November. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Bournemouth v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.65 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.54 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.6 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.5 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Bournemouth and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.82% for a win of Bournemouth against Aston Villa with odds of 2.95 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Aston Villa is 27.69% with odds of 3.75 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
Bournemouth - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 45.49% | 2.55 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.98% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 21.52% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Form
Bournemouth and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
Bournemouth and Aston Villa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
After securing a fairly routine 2-0 victory over basement club Wolves last week, Bournemouth extended their unbeaten run in the top flight to four games (W3 D1). Their only loss in 2026 was against Arsenal on January 3.
The Cherries have been very impressive in attack of late, scoring two or more goals in six of their last seven matches in all competitions. Only four teams in the top flight have scored more than Bournemouth’s 40 EPL goals this season.
The hosts' last two home games ended in victories over Liverpool and Spurs, while their only defeat at this venue in their last five matches was that loss to the Gunners earlier this month.
Matches involving Bournemouth have produced the most goals in the EPL this season (83)!
Meanwhile, Aston Villa’s 1-0 loss to Brentford last week was their third defeat in their last six league games - that is as many losses as they conceded in their first 18 Prem matches this season.
However, thanks to Man City dropping points in recent weeks, the Lions are still only a point behind the Citizens in second, but are also just five points ahead of fourth-placed Man United.
Villa have won five of their last seven away league games (D1 L1) and have earned 21 points from their 12 matches on the road this season (W6 D3 L3) - the second-best record in the division.
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Bournemouth against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Mandas
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
MidfielderD. Brooks
M. Dacosta
A. Toth
V. Milosavljevic
R. Christie
E. Unal
S. Proctor
M. Bizot
DefenderP. Torres
I. Maatsen
V. Lindelof
MidfielderL. Bogarde
R. Barkley
L. Bailey
T. Abraham
Missing players
W. Dennis
DefenderJ. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderT. Adams
J. Kluivert
M. Tavernier
ForwardB. Gannon-Doak
J. McGinn
B. Kamara
A. Garcia
ForwardAlysson
Bournemouth & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
With the departure of Antoine Semenyo and injuries to several attacking players, Eli Kroupi has stepped up massively for Iraola and is now the team’s top scorer in the league with eight goals this season.
Teenage wonderkid Rayan had an impressive debut cameo last week, coming off the bench to provide an assist against Wolves, and there is a chance he could be handed his first start for the Cherries here.
The hosts have several players unavailable due to injury at present, including Marcus Tavernier, Julio Soler, David Brooks, Tyler Adams, Ben Doak, and long-term absentee Justin Kluivert.
Evanilson has scored in each of his last three home league games for Bournemouth!
Owing to Ollie Watkins’ absence, Tammy Abraham was thrust directly into the starting 11 against Brentford just five days after arriving at Villa Park. He thought he had marked his debut with a goal, but it was later ruled out by VAR.
Watkins injury is not serious, and he could feature this week if he passes a late fitness test. New arrival Alysson has also shaken off his knock and is in contention to make the squad for this match.
As far as confirmed absentees go, the visitors will have to make do without Ross Barkley (knee), Boubacar Kamara (knee), John McGinn (knee) and Youri Tielemans (ankle).
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
Bournemouth - Aston Villa Key Points
- Nine of Bournemouth’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Bournemouth have scored two or more goals in six of their last nine home matches.
- Bournemouth are averaging 1.67 goals per game this season.
- Seven of Aston Villa’s last 10 away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven away league matches.
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Our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction
Bournemouth are a side on the up, as they enter this fixture unbeaten in their last four league games (W3 D1), while having earned the joint-most points in the EPL during this unbeaten run.
However, while the Cherries are doing well in attack, they also concede their fair share of goals, with the victory over Wolves last week being the only clean sheet they have kept in their last 10 matches across all competitions. Therefore, our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction is BTTS.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Six of Bournemouth’s last eight games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven away league matches. Additionally, matches involving Bournemouth have produced the most goals in the EPL this season.
Evanilson to score or assist
Evanilson has scored in each of his last three Premier League home games for Bournemouth.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Aston Villa
| Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 2.59 | 2.95 | +13.9% |
| Draw | 3.86 | 3.75 | -2.8% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.7 | 2.55 | -5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 39.2% (2.2%)
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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Aston Villa will take place on February 7 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Aston Villa will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Aston Villa will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
