Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund need to overcome Mainz’s improved form in this Bundesliga matchday 22 fixture on Friday to stay closer to the top. This match at Signal Iduna Park between the second-placed ‘Black and Yellows’ and the 14th-placed 05ers comes with our prediction of a home win and both teams to score.
After the last round of fixtures, Dortmund’s 48 points (W14, D6, L1) kept them six points behind leaders Bayern and six ahead of third. Mainz had 21 points (W5, D6, L10) that kept them two points above the relegation zone.
Dortmund needed a late goal to edge Wolfsburg 2-1 away from home for a fifth consecutive league win. Die Borussen are now unbeaten in 14 Bundesliga matches (W10, D4) to remain the closest challengers to Bayern.
They are yet to lose at home this Bundesliga campaign (W8, D2) and have won their last five such matches in a row.
Mainz defeated Augsburg 2-0 at home last weekend to make it four wins out of their last five league matches (L1), including three in a row. The ‘Carnival Club’ lost only one of their last eight league games (W4, D3), boosting their hopes of avoiding relegation.
Away form is still a concern, as Mainz lost five of their last eight league trips (W1, D2), although they won at Leipzig at the end of January.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Borussia Dortmund v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.3 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Borussia Dortmund wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/02/2026 between Borussia Dortmund and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.74% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.71 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 26.45% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.82% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
Borussia Dortmund - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 49.74% | 1.71 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.24% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund | 19.65% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
Borussia Dortmund and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
27 May 2023 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderY. Couto
L. Reggiani
K. Adeyemi
C. Chukwuemeka
M. Sabitzer
S. Ozcan
ForwardS. Inacio
F. Silva
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
K. Potulski
P. Mwene
P. Nebel
W. Boving
N. Veratschnig
ForwardS. Becker
N. Weiper
Missing players
N. Schlotterbeck
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
R. Zentner
DefenderA. Caci
MidfielderL. Maloney
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
K. Bos
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
1 Fsv Mainz 05
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Borussia Dortmund won their last five league matches.
- Eight of Dortmund’s last 12 Bundesliga matches produced BTTS.
- Five of Mainz’s last six league games saw both teams score goals.
- Mainz saw both teams score goals in their last four away league games.
- Five of the last seven matches between these teams produced goals by both teams.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
The reverse fixture in September ended in a 2-0 defeat for Mainz, but they are in better shape this time. They have won four of their last five league games, three in a row, to move out of the relegation zone. Although the danger is still not averted, they are confident of saving the season. Improving their away form is a challenge, though, especially as Dortmund are near-impregnable at this venue.
The hosts have won eight of their ten home league games this season, and our Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.42 | 1.71 | +20.4% |
| Draw | 5.02 | 4.4 | -12.4% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 8.8 | 5.2 | -40.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 58.5% (-11.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Borussia Dortmund vs. 1 Fsv Mainz 05 game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Borussia Dortmund and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Bundesliga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
