Bolton vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Bolton Wanderers host Stevenage in a League One clash on Tuesday night. The game has major playoff implications, with the Trotters and visiting Boro both currently in the playoff places and looking likely to stay there as we approach the final games of the season. Is there a strong market to back for our prediction for this match? Let's take a closer look and find out.
The current L1 table shows just how well-matched these two teams are. Bolton lie fourth in the table with 70 points from 42 games played. Stevenage lie sixth with 67 points from 41 games played. In fact just four points separates all four teams currently occupying the playoff spots in League One at present.
Recent form suggests this could be a tricky afternoon for the home side. Bolton's recent run saw them lose 1-0 away to bottom club Port Vale, but then they earned a positive 2-1 win away to Plymouth. A 2-2 home draw with Stockport followed but at the weekend Wanderers went down to a 2-0 defeat away to Cardiff City.
In contrast, Stevenage's recent form is excellent, especially defensively. A 1-0 win over Reading saw a vital three points picked up, and then Boro drew 0-0 away to Rotherham. However they have followed that with successive 1-0 wins, first at home to Blackpool and then a superb 1-0 away win over Bradford City at the weekend.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bolton v Stevenage Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.43 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.42 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.35 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Stevenage?
Our prediction for the Bolton vs Stevenage match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/04/2026 between Bolton and Stevenage in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.27% for a win of Bolton against Stevenage with odds of 1.88 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs Stevenage is 32.96% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Stevenage vs Bolton with odds of 4.43 at Melbet.
Bolton - Stevenage Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolton Stevenage Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 44.27% | 1.88 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.67% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton | 25.61% | 5 at LSbet |
Bolton vs Stevenage Form
Bolton and Stevenage's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
75 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | +18 |
|
6
|
75 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | +3 |
Bolton and Stevenage Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - League One
6 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - League One
6 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
10 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
17 Feb 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
7 Feb 2026 - League One
Bolton vs Stevenage Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2026 - League One
3 May 2025 - League One
29 Oct 2024 - League One
29 Mar 2024 - League One
Players list
J. Bonham
DefenderC. Forino
G. Johnston
E. Toal
J. Osei-Tutu
MidfielderR. Rodrigues
J. Sheehan
ForwardT. Gale
J. Kenny
S. Dalby
A. Cozier-Duberry
F. Marshall
DefenderC. Piergianni
C. Goode
MidfielderH. White
D. Phillips
J. Pattenden
L. Thompson
J. Roberts
D. Kemp
D. Sweeney
ForwardJ. Reid
Substitutes
N. Broome
DefenderM. Burstow
C. Christie
MidfielderR. Apter
M. Conway
I. Cissoko
K. Dempsey
T. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderJ. Houghton
D. Butler
MidfielderM. Phillips
S. Earley
B. Lubala
P. Patterson
Most goals and assists
Bolton
Stevenage
M. Burstow
(12 Goals)
J. Reid
(14 Goals)
Bolton - Stevenage Key Points
- Three of Bolton's last five games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Stevenage have conceded just one goal in their last six games, scoring just four.
- Bolton have the fourth-best defensive record in L1, with 44 goals conceded.
- Stevenage have the second-best defensive record in the division, conceding just 38 goals.
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Our Bolton vs Stevenage Prediction
Our prediction for the Bolton Wanderers vs. Stevenage League One match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
A look at the data for this game reveals a Bolton side struggling for consistency at the moment and while they are in no imminent threat of losing their place in the playoffs, they know this is a vital game. Stevenage do not score many, but concede even fewer and they have been superb defensively of late. As such, goals look likely to be at a premium here and while picking a winner is tough, backing the under 2.5 goals market is a better option.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bolton Stevenage
| Bolton vs Stevenage | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 1.9 | 1.88 | -1.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
| Stevenage wins | 3.8 | 4.43 | +16.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 53.2% (0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
