Bolton vs Barnsley Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
In form Bolton Wanderers host Barnsley in a League One clash on Saturday afternoon. Steven Schumacher's Trotters have been in excellent form of late, while Conor Hourihane's Tykes have been more inconsistent, although they have played significantly fewer league games than many teams above them in the league table. Our match prediction is outlined below.
Bolton's excellent recent form has seen them move into genuine promotion contention. Wanderers lie third in the table with 52 points from 30 games, six behind Lincoln in second spot in the table, but ten points ahead of Luton in seventh. Barnsley have played just 26 games and have amassed 37 points, leaving them 14th in the table, albeit with two or three games in hand on most teams.
Since a 0-0 draw away to Stevenage, Bolton have won their next three games. That run includes two 2-1 home victories over Leyton Orient and then Burton Albion, which was then followed by a battling 1-0 away win at AFC Wimbledon last weekend.
Barnsley's recent form has been a little mixed, starting with a 2-2 draw away to Reading and then a 4-0 defeat away to Cardiff City. Last weekend they earned a 3-1 win over Stevenage at home and then in midweek, they earned a 2-2 draw at home to Northampton Town.
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Bolton v Barnsley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.69 | 3.95 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.84 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.85 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Barnsley?
Our prediction for the Bolton vs Barnsley match is: Bolton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Bolton and Barnsley in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.64% for a win of Bolton against Barnsley with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs Barnsley is 25.17% with odds of 3.95 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Barnsley vs Bolton with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Bolton - Barnsley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolton Barnsley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 51.64% | 1.7 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.78% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bolton/Bolton | 23.85% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Bolton vs Barnsley Form
Bolton and Barnsley's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
75 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | +18 |
|
15
|
59 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | -5 |
Bolton and Barnsley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
4 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
10 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2026 - League One
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
Bolton vs Barnsley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Apr 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2024 - League One
7 May 2024 - League One
3 May 2024 - League One
5 Mar 2024 - League One
Players list
J. Bonham
DefenderC. Forino
E. Toal
J. Osei-Tutu
G. Johnston
MidfielderR. Apter
K. Dempsey
E. Erhahon
ForwardC. Blackett-Taylor
S. Dalby
J. McAtee
O. Goodman
DefenderJ. Shepherd
E. O'Connell
C. O'Keeffe
T. Watson
MidfielderS. Banks
J. Bland
L. Connell
ForwardD. McGoldrick
R. Cleary
T. Bradshaw
Substitutes
D. Harrington
DefenderM. Burstow
C. Christie
L. Temple
MidfielderX. Simons
I. Cissoko
ForwardT. Gale
K. Flavell
DefenderM. Durand de Gevigney
N. Ogbeta
M. Roberts
MidfielderV. Yoganathan
P. Kelly
A. Phillips
Most goals and assists
Bolton
Barnsley
M. Burstow
(12 Goals)
D. McGoldrick
(15 Goals)
Bolton - Barnsley Key Points
- Bolton have won four and drawn one of their last five League One games.
- Barnsley have won just two of their last ten games in all competitions.
- Bolton have won ten, drawn four and lost just one of their 15 League One home games this season.
- Barnsley have not won any of their last six away League One games (D3, L3).
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Our Bolton vs Barnsley Prediction
Our prediction for the Bolton Wanderers vs. Barnsley League One match is: Bolton wins.
A look at the data for this fixture reveals a number of key factors. Bolton have an excellent home record, Barnsley's away record in League One is poor. Bolton's recent form is excellent, Barnsley's far less impressive. Combine those factors with the fact that Bolton are playing this fixture at home and that makes backing them to land the win the obvious pick in this fixture.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bolton Barnsley
| Bolton vs Barnsley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.95 | +5.3% |
| Barnsley wins | 4.65 | 5 | +7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 58.8% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
