Bologna vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Bologna are still battling on two fronts this deep into the season, and next up for them is a Serie A game against Lecce. Hosting this encounter, Bologna starts the weekend in eighth while Lecce are 10 places lower, battling for survival. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Bologna are coming off a tough outing in Europe, where they were beaten 3-1 at home by Aston Villa. As they plan for the return leg, they could do with a good warm-up against Lecce, a fixture they’ve largely dominated.
A 2-1 win against Cremonese in the last outing was their third in five in the league. Having struggled to win much at home, this one will be looking to seize this chance.
Lecce have a mountain to climb, not just in this game but through the remainder of the season. They arrive for this match locked into the drop zone by goal difference and will be plotting for a rise here.
There is a small issue though, and that has to do with their recent run. Lecce have suffered three straight defeats ahead of this game.
In their last five matches, they lost four, and all of them were against teams currently in the top eight. For Salentini, these aren’t very encouraging stats.
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Bologna v Lecce Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.45 | 4.9 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.57 | 2.49 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.42 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.34 | 4.82 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.25 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Bologna vs Lecce match is: Bologna wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Bologna and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.7% for a win of Bologna against Lecce with odds of 2.47 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Lecce is 17.43% with odds of 3.57 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Bologna with odds of 5.01 at 888Starz.
Bologna - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bologna Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 56.7% | 2.47 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.44% | 1.94 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bologna | 33.2% | 4.7 at LSbet |
Bologna vs Lecce Form
Bologna and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
56 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Bologna and Lecce Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Bologna vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
3 Dec 2023 - Serie A
4 Jun 2023 - Serie A
Bologna against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Franceschelli
F. Ravaglia
DefenderL. De Silvestri
M. Vitik
N. Zortea
T. Heggem
MidfielderT. Pobega
F. Bernardeschi
J. Odgaard
F. Castaldo
J. Rowe
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderS. Fofana
A. Gallo
G. Jean
M. Ignacio
N. Kovac
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
A. Sala
K. N’Dri
O. Gandelman
T. Helgason
ForwardW. Cheddira
Missing players
K. Bonifazi
MidfielderL. Ferguson
R. Sottil
M. Berisha
F. Camarda
Most goals and assists
Bologna
Lecce
R. Orsolini
(10 Goals)
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
N. Cambiaghi
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Miranda
(4 Assists)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
Bologna - Lecce Key Points
- Bologna are unbeaten in 10 meetings with Lecce, winning six.
- Lecce lost all their last four away matches at Bologna.
- Lecce suffered four defeats in their last five away matches.
- Lecce lost their last four matches against sides in the top eight.
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Our Bologna vs Lecce Prediction
Bologna as a venue has been a tough hunting ground for Lecce, and Bologna as an opponent has also troubled the visitors. Lecce’s performance against sides in the top eight ahead of this fixture also doesn’t help. In their last five matches, Lecce faced four top-eight sides and lost all.
Bologna looks like a side to extend that run as they look to close in on the top six. The hosts haven’t had a great run at home, but their form against Lecce might offer a lift. Our prediction for Bologna v Lecce is that Bologna wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Lecce
| Bologna vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 2.56 | 2.47 | -3.5% |
| Draw | 3.33 | 3.57 | +7.2% |
| Lecce wins | 2.53 | 5.01 | +98.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bologna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.1% and is now 40.5% (1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
