Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar | in Serie A Predictions
Coppa Italia Champions Bologna will look to end their 2024/25 Serie A season on a high with a win over Genoa on the last matchday on Saturday. This match at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara between the eighth-placed Rossoblu and the 13th-placed Grifone comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
Bologna are eighth with 62 points and have already qualified for the Europa League after winning the Coppa Italia competition. Genoa are 13th with 40 points and are guaranteed to finish at that spot.
Only three points separate Bologna from sixth spot, and they can make things interesting with a win here. They were, however, defeated at Fiorentina last matchday by a 3-2 score.
It shouldn’t unnerve the hosts, as playing at this venue brought the best out of Bologna, winning seven of their last nine league matches here.
Genoa’s season seems to have come to an end, as the lack of motivation is showing in recent results. They are winless in six league matches, losing four, including a 3-2 loss at home to Atalanta.
Things aren’t any better on the road, as Genoa are winless across ten away league matches, although they drew five of those. That included a 2-2 away draw at Napoli in their last visit, so Genoa will look to stretch Bologna here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bologna v Genoa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.9 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Bologna vs Genoa match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2025 between Bologna and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.19% for a win of Bologna against Genoa with odds of 1.67 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Genoa is 37.12% with odds of 4.54 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Bologna with odds of 7.5 at Betfred.
Bologna - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bologna Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 54.19% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 64.07% | 1.93 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bologna | 28.24% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Bologna vs Genoa Form
Bologna and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
62 | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -12 |
Bologna and Genoa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
14 May 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Coppa Italia
4 May 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
9 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
5 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Serie A
5 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
7 Mar 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Bologna vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 May 2024 - Serie A
5 Jan 2024 - Serie A
21 May 2022 - Serie A
21 Sep 2021 - Serie A
12 May 2021 - Serie A
Bologna against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
M. Erlic
J. Miranda
ForwardJ. Odgaard
A. Matturro
J. Vasquez
MidfielderR. Malinovskyi
Most goals and assists
Bologna
Genoa
R. Orsolini
(15 Goals)
A. Pinamonti
(10 Goals)
J. Miranda
(6 Assists)
A. Martin
(8 Assists)
Bologna - Genoa Key Points
- Bologna’s matches this season averaged 2.70 goals per fixture and only four teams had better numbers.
- Nine of Bologna’s last 13 home league games featured over 2.5 goals.
- Genoa’s last three league fixtures saw three or more goals scored.
- In ten of their last 13 home Serie A matches, Bologna scored two or more goals.
- The reverse fixture ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Bologna vs Genoa Prediction
Bologna have already qualified for the Europa League next season by winning the Coppa Italia tournament this season. They can still make things interesting with a win, as three teams above them are separated by three points. Home fans will hope they can celebrate the season end positively. Genoa are guaranteed to finish 13th irrespective of the result here, but recent form suggests they are unlikely to trouble Bologna. With very little to lose, both teams are likely to make this an entertaining encounter, and our Bologna vs Genoa prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Genoa
| Bologna vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 1.48 | 1.67 | +12.8% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 3.9 | -9.9% |
| Genoa wins | 6.5 | 5 | -23.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bologna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 59.9% (-7.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bologna vs. Genoa game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bologna and Genoa? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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