Birmingham vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
11th--placed Birmingham City can move to within a point of the promotion play-offs if they beat Watford on Tuesday. City are in top form at home and will bid for a fourth straight win as they host Watford who are 15th in the Championship. Read our match prediction below.
Birmingham have won five of their eight league games this season with just one loss to Hull City. Their last three home league fixtures have produced wins over Portsmouth, Millwall and Norwich with four goals scored in each of the wins.
Their most recent match saw them draw 1-1 at West Brom. Just one of their last five league games has been lost.
Watford are only a point behind City but of their 24 points, only six points have been earned away from Vicarage Road. Their only away league win of the season came in their last game with a 3-2 win at Derby. Since then they've been held to a 1-1 home draw by Preston North End.
That extended their unbeaten run to five games but three of those have ended level. Four of their eight away Championship games have ended in defeat. Only eight goals have been scored with 12 conceded.
We tip Birmingham to win this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Birmingham v Watford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.89 | 3.55 | 4 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.72 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.44 | 4.23 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.65 | 4.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Watford?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Watford match is: Birmingham wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/12/2025 between Birmingham and Watford in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.67% for a win of Birmingham against Watford with odds of 1.9 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Watford is 25.31% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Birmingham with odds of 4.54 at Melbet.
Birmingham - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 45.67% | 1.9 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.19% | 2.05 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Birmingham/Birmingham | 19.58% | 2.95 at LSbet |
Birmingham vs Watford Form
Birmingham and Watford's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
16
|
57 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 |
Birmingham and Watford Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
3 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Sept 2025 - Championship
Birmingham vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2024 - Championship
Birmingham against Watford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Cashin
A. Sampsted
J. Robinson
MidfielderM. Leonard
L. Koumas
K. Anderson
L. Dykes
K. Furuhashi
A. Marriott
DefenderJ. Abankwah
M. Alleyne
MidfielderM. Sissoko
G. Chakvetadze
E. Kayembe
N. Mendy
ForwardJ. Morris
V. Semedo
Missing players
L. Buchanan
R. Vata
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Watford
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
L. Kjerrumgaard
(10 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
I. Louza
(9 Assists)
Birmingham - Watford Key Points
- Birminghham have won five of their eight home league games this season.
- Birmingham have won their last three home league fixtures, scoring four goals in each match.
- Watford have only won one away league match this season.
- Only Coventry have scored more home league games this season than Birmingham.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Birmingham vs Watford Prediction
Birmingham City are scoring goals for fun at home with 12 in their last three games at St Andrews. They are only four points behind the final promotion play-off position and will be going all out to get a sixth home league win of the season.
Watford will go ahead of City if they can win this match. They also have a strong home record but on the road it's been a struggle with just one win at Derby. A side bet on both teams scoring could win but our main Birmingham v Watford prediction is Birmingham wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Watford
| Birmingham vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 1.85 | 1.9 | +2.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Watford wins | 4.4 | 4.54 | +3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 52.6% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
