Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
Only three points separate Birmingham and Stoke as the teams clash in an intriguing matchday 29 fixture in the EFL Championship. This match on Saturday between the 13th-placed Blues and the eighth-placed Potters at St Andrew’s comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Birmingham have 38 points from 28 matches (W10, D8, L10) and are five points behind playoff spots. Stoke have 41 points (W12, D5, L11) and are two points adrift of the top six.
Birmingham won 2-0 away at Sheffield Wednesday this week to make it three wins out of the last four competitive games. The Blues have seven points from their last three league games and are making up for lost time in December, where they failed to win any of their seven league games.
This venue has been a near-fortress in recent weeks, as Birmingham are unbeaten in eight home league games (W5, D3).
Stoke were beaten 2-1 at home by Middlesbrough in their midweek clash, ending a four-game unbeaten sequence (W3, D1) in all competitions. The Potters have had an indifferent time recently in the league, winning only three of their last 11 fixtures (D2, L6).
Stoke won their last two away league games, which came on the back of four consecutive losses on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Birmingham v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.82 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.82 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.64 | 4.13 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.55 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Stoke match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Birmingham and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.71% for a win of Birmingham against Stoke with odds of 1.82 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Stoke is 23.7% with odds of 3.85 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Birmingham with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
Birmingham - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 53.71% | 1.82 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 55.71% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Birmingham/Birmingham | 25.61% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Birmingham vs Stoke Form
Birmingham and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
17
|
55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Birmingham and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
Birmingham vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
Birmingham against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Allsop
DefenderM. Mazwi
MidfielderJ. Solis
W. Willumsson
B. Osayi-Samuel
K. Fujimoto
S. Wright
K. Furuhashi
A. Priske
F. Fielding
DefenderJ. Dixon
J. Griffin
S. Agina
A. Cresswell
R. Curley
W. Smith
B. Pearson
F. Fawunmi
Missing players
L. Buchanan
V. Johansson
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Stoke
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
S. Thomas
(10 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
S. Thomas
(11 Assists)
Birmingham - Stoke Key Points
- Birmingham scored in each of their 13 home league matches this season.
- Birmingham’s last six home league matches produced BTTS.
- In 11 of their last 14 Championship matches, Birmingham saw both teams score goals.
- Stoke conceded in four of their last six away league games.
- Two of the last three head-to-head matches produced goals from both teams.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction
The stakes are high for both Stoke and Birmingham as the race for playoffs intensifies. Stoke have a three-point advantage over their hosts and are only two points adrift of the playoff spots, but the margins are thin. Birmingham come here with an impressive home record, not losing a league match at this venue since the start of November. Stoke have turned things around on the road with consecutive wins and also won the reverse fixture back in September.
This could be a tight game, and our Birmingham vs Stoke prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Stoke
| Birmingham vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 1.82 | 1.82 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.85 | +13.2% |
| Stoke wins | 4.6 | 4.7 | +2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 54.9% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Birmingham vs. Stoke game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Birmingham and Stoke when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
