Birmingham vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
Seeking to end a three-game losing streak, each of their own, Birmingham and QPR meet in the EFL Championship matchday 37 on Wednesday. This match at St Andrew’s between the 12th-placed Blues and the 16th-placed Rangers comes with our prediction of a draw.
Ahead of this round, Birmingham’s 49 points (W13, D10, L13) put them eight points behind the top six teams. QPR have 47 points (W13, D8, L15) and are 12 points above the relegation zone.
Birmingham lost 1-0 away at Charlton last weekend to make it three defeats on the bounce in the Championship. This run means that their playoff hopes hang in the balance, as there’s very little margin for error from hereon.
The Blues were beaten 3-1 at this venue in their last home game but had a run of five draws in seven league matches (W2) prior to that.
QPR were thrashed 4-0 at home by Middlesbrough on Sunday for a fourth defeat in their last five league games (W1). The last three of those came in a row and had a combined score of 11-0.
Thankfully for the Rangers, they have enough buffer with the relegation zone and should be fairly safe. Even on the road, they have avoided defeat in four of their last five league trips (W1, D3, L1).
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Birmingham v QPR Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.72 | 5.18 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.7 | 5.13 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.65 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and QPR?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs QPR match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2026 between Birmingham and QPR in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.85% for a win of Birmingham against QPR with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs QPR is 37.16% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.99% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs Birmingham with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Birmingham - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham QPR Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 39.85% | 1.7 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.33% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Birmingham | 19.6% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Birmingham vs QPR Form
Birmingham and QPR's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
15
|
58 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | -12 |
Birmingham and QPR Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
2 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
6 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
6 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
Birmingham vs QPR Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
22 Sept 2023 - Championship
28 Oct 2022 - Championship
2 Jan 2022 - Championship
Birmingham against QPR Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. Allsop
DefenderJ. Panzo
P. Neumann
MidfielderB. Osayi-Samuel
K. Fujimoto
K. Furuhashi
C. Vicente
D. Gray
B. Hamer
DefenderT. Smith
R. Norrington-Davies
K. Morgan
K. Adamson
MidfielderK. Poku
D. Bennie
I. Hayden
R. Kolli
Missing players
L. Buchanan
Z. Larkeche
ForwardK. Dembele
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
QPR
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
R. Kone
(10 Goals)
, 
R. Burrell
(10 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
N. Madsen
(6 Assists)
Birmingham - QPR Key Points
- Birmingham lost their last three Championship matches.
- Five of Birmingham’s last eight league games at this venue ended in a draw.
- QPR drew four of their last seven away league games.
- QPR lost their last three Championship matches.
- The last league fixture between these sides at this venue in September 2023 ended in a draw.
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Our Birmingham vs QPR Prediction
Only two points separate these two teams, and they are within reach of playoff spots, but that doesn’t tell the real story. Birmingham and QPR come here after three consecutive losses, which have all but ruled them out of the top six race. QPR have lost their last three by an aggregate total of 11-0, so there’s a lot at stake for the visitors. The only comfort is that they won the reverse fixture 2-1 back in December.
Birmingham have struggled to close out home games lately, and our Birmingham vs QPR prediction is draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham QPR
| Birmingham vs QPR | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 1.75 | 1.7 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4 | +5.3% |
| QPR wins | 4.7 | 5.4 | +14.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 58.8% (1.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Birmingham vs. QPR game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Birmingham and QPR when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
