England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
11th placed Birmingham City had a big home win on Saturday against Portsmouth. It's going to be tougher on Tuesday night when they host in-form Millwall who are fourth in the table. Can the Blues get a home win? Read our match prediction.
Birmingham beat Portsmouth 4-0 at home and are only four points behind the final promotion play-off position. City had lost two of their previous three league games before securing their third home league win of the season. Birmingham have only lost one of their six home league matches this season, a 3-2 loss to Hull City. Two of their last three home games at St Andrews have seen both teams score.
Millwall are just a single point adrift of the automatic promotion places. The Lions would have been in the top two but for twice giving away a lead at Oxford United on Saturday. That included conceding a 96th minute equalizer.
The late goal ended a run of four consecutive league victories for the Londoners. On the road, Millwall are the only club in the Championship not to lose a game. Three away league fixtures have been won with the same number drawn.
Millwall remain in good form and we tip them to win or draw this trip to Birmingham.
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The Best Betting Odds for Birmingham v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.68 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.55 | 4.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Millwall match is: Millwall wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/11/2025 between Birmingham and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.93% for a win of Birmingham against Millwall with odds of 1.77 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Millwall is 37.29% with odds of 3.6 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Birmingham with odds of 5 at Betfred.
Birmingham - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.29% | 3.6 at Bwin |
| Under 2.5 | 64.14% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 14.5% | 5 at Bet365 |
Birmingham vs Millwall Form
Birmingham and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -3 |
|
9
|
21 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Birmingham and Millwall Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
3 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
3 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
29 Aug 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
Birmingham vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2024 - Championship
2 Sept 2023 - Championship
Birmingham against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Buchanan
E. Laird
MidfielderS. Wright
W. Willumsson
S. Benda
MidfielderB. Baker
M. Luongo
W. Smallbone
ForwardJ. Coburn
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Millwall
J. Stansfield
(7 Goals)
F. Azeez
(4 Goals)
D. Gray
(2 Assists)
,
A. Cochrane
(2 Assists)
,
J. Stansfield
(2 Assists)
,
P. Roberts
(2 Assists)
T. Ballo
(3 Assists)
Birmingham - Millwall Key Points
- Millwall are the only club in the Championship not to lose an away game.
- Millwall have earned 13 points from their last five league games.
- In their last eight games, only league leaders Coventry have beaten Millwall.
- Birmingham have only won one of their last three home league fixtures.
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Our Birmingham vs Millwall Prediction
Millwall will be kicking themselves that they aren't in the top two of the Championship. The Lions were so nearly there on Saturday but conceded a 96th minute equalizer away at Oxford United.
Four of their last five league games have been won. They are yet to lose an away game in the Championship this season and will fancy their chances of staying undefeated. Birmingham beat Portsmouth 4-0 on Saturday but Pompey are in terrible form. Our Birmingham v Millwall prediction is Millwall wins or draws.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Millwall
| Birmingham vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 1.96 | 1.68 | -14.3% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.5 | +14.8% |
| Millwall wins | 3.8 | 4.75 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 28.6% (-4.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Birmingham vs. Millwall game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Birmingham and Millwall? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
