Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough currently hold the second automatic promotion spot in the Championship. Monday sees Boro travel to Birmingham City who are only 11th in the table but just eight points adrift of the final promotion play-off position. Time for our match prediction.
After Saturday's fixtures, Boro are a point clear of third-placed Millwall with this game in hand. The pressure is on them though with Ipswich three points behind them with a game in hand and a better goal difference.
The away side have gone three league games without a victory but the last two have been drawn. This season has seen them win eight away league games and that's a total only bettered by Hull City.
Birmingham City are still hoping to make it into the promotion play-offs. A win over Middlesbrough will see the Blues move back into the top ten and within five points of the final play-off position.
City need to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at in-form Millwall in their most recent league game. The defeat ended a run of eight league games without defeat. Home form this season has produced eight league wins with seven draws and just one loss.
They have several selection problems for this game and we suggest a bet on Boro to win or draw.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Birmingham v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.5 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.64 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.38 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.45 | 2.52 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Birmingham and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Birmingham vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2026 between Birmingham and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.38% for a win of Birmingham against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Birmingham vs Middlesbrough is 28.64% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Birmingham with odds of 2.55 at Shangrila.
Birmingham - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Birmingham Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 35.98% | 2.55 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.48% | 2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 72.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 13.21% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Form
Birmingham and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Birmingham and Middlesbrough Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
16 Feb 2026 - Championship
9 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - Championship
9 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2024 - Championship
Birmingham against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Laird
P. Neumann
MidfielderK. Fujimoto
S. Paik
K. Furuhashi
C. Vicente
A. Priske
I. Osman
J. Wildsmith
DefenderG. Edmundson
F. Munroe
MidfielderA. Gilbert
A. Browne
S. Hansen
M. Sene
J. Sarmiento
M. Whittaker
Missing players
L. Buchanan
D. Lenihan
A. Jones
Most goals and assists
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
Birmingham - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Birmingham have drawn seven home league games this season.
- Middlesbrough have won eight away league matches this term.
- Middlesbrough have won their last six games against Birmingham.
- Middlesbrough have won three of their last four away league matches.
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Our Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Both clubs really need to win this match after poor results in their last outings. Birmingham showed strong early season form then slipped down the table due to a poor run of results. They have regained momentum but lost 3-0 at Millwall in their last game and have injury and suspension problems.
Middlesbrough remain in second place but after a run of three league fixtures without a win, their promotion rivals are closing in on them. Their away form is good though and our Birmingham v Middlesbrough prediction is Middlesbrough wins or draws.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Birmingham Middlesbrough
| Birmingham vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 2.19 | 2.85 | +30.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.65 | +7.4% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 3.1 | 2.55 | -17.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 39.2% (7.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
