Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Looking to hold onto their Champions League slot, Benfica will host Braga in their next Primeira Liga match. Head-to-head advantage places Benfica above Sporting, on 76 points, while Braga are a distant third with 57 points. These two have played to a combined 19 draws, and our prediction will back the same.
Benfica haven’t tasted defeat in the league this season, but 10 draws in the 32 games have slowed them significantly. In the runup to this encounter they posted their latest draw, 2-2 versus Famalicao.
Jose Mourinho’s men are not just about securing a UCL slot; they are also keen on revenge, having lost a cup game to this same opponent.
Braga’s task is easier; if they win the last two games, they secure the Conference League slot ahead of a chasing Famalicao. Like Benfica, Braga are coming off a draw at home to Estoril in their last league game.
That marked a second winless league outing for the visitors, following their 3-1 defeat to Freiburg in the Europa League semis.
Braguistas have recorded nine draws in the league, and their last four matches only returned one win. They aren’t the strongest travelers, but Braga have eight wins on the road in 16 matches.
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Benfica Lisbon v SC Braga Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.39 | 4.9 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.25 | 7.9 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 8 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.7 | 7.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.9% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against SC Braga with odds of 1.42 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga is 19.77% with odds of 5.25 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.33% chance ⭐ for a win of SC Braga vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 8 at Betwinner.
Benfica Lisbon - SC Braga Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon SC Braga Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 53.9% | 1.42 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.62 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 28.21% | 2 at Bet365 |
Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Form
Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
4
|
59 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +28 |
Benfica Lisbon and SC Braga Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Europa League
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon against SC Braga Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
S. Soares
DefenderA. Bah
G. Oliveira
MidfielderE. Barrenechea
G. Sudakov
M. Silva
ForwardBruma
D. Lukebakio
V. Pavlidis
T. Sa
DefenderJ. Noro
P. Oliveira
MidfielderL. Pinto
M. Dorgeles
G. Moscardo
R. Zalazar
Y. da Rocha
ForwardA. El Ouazzani
Missing players
R. Rios
J. Veloso
S. Niakate
A. Barisic
B. Arrey-Mbi
MidfielderD. Rodrigues
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
SC Braga
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
R. Zalazar
(16 Goals)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
R. Zalazar
(5 Assists)
, 
V. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - SC Braga Key Points
- Benfica have drawn 10 times in the Primeira Liga.
- Braga have posted nine wins in the Primeira Liga.
- Benfica are the only undefeated side in the league.
- The last two league meetings between these sides ended in draws.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction
Benfica have blown hot and cold this season, and with the league title gone, they can only focus on finishing strongly. Chased down by Sporting in third, Benfica don’t have much room to wiggle, and only a win here will guarantee them staying second.
Braga are not easy opponents to face, though. They avoided defeat in their three meetings this season, winning the latest. Both of their league meetings ended in draws, and we are pushing for the same here. Our prediction for Benfica v Braga is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon SC Braga
| Benfica Lisbon vs SC Braga | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.42 | 1.42 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.8 | 5.25 | +9.4% |
| SC Braga wins | 7.5 | 8 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 70.4% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
