Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
06/08/2026 15:00
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions

Benfica will target a heavy win to take a substantial lead into the second leg when they host Heart of Midlothian in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Europa League (UEL). This first leg match in Lisbon on Thursday between the ‘Eagles’ and the ‘Jambos’ could end up being an entertainer with over 3.5 goals, according to our prediction.

The winner of this two-legged tie will advance to the UEL playoff round to play the loser of AGF vs Sabah in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) third qualifying round. The losers will be transferred to the league phase of the Conference League.

Benfica overwhelmed St Gallen 5-0 last week at home to win 6-2 on aggregate and book their spot in this round. They have been in good scoring form this season, netting seven goals in their last two friendlies apart from these UEL games.

The Eagles will be confident of their chances at home and follow their big win over St Gallen last month.

The Hearts lost 2-1 away at Aberdeen last weekend to start their Scottish Premiership campaign with a defeat. They were also beaten by Sturm Graz 6-0 on aggregate, losing both legs, in the UEFA Champions League (UCL).

That makes it three competitive defeats in a row for the visitors, who have also lost their last three on the road.

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Benfica Lisbon v Heart Of Midlothian FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.09 9.4 18
1xbet
1.1 10.2 21
Melbet
1.11 9.72 19.5
Betwinner
1.11 9.72 19.5
22bet
1.1 10.2 21
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Heart Of Midlothian FC?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC match is: more than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/08/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and Heart Of Midlothian FC in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.89% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 4.2 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC is 21.31% with odds of 26 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 34 at Betsson.

Benfica Lisbon - Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Benfica Lisbon Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction Probability Odds
Benfica Lisbon wins 59.89% 4.2 at Betsson
Over 2.5 goals 81.09% 1.28 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 73.81%
Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon 27.78% 1.48 at LSbet

Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Form

Benfica Lisbon and Heart Of Midlothian FC Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
St. Gallen

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  1
CF OS Belenenses

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

St. Gallen
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Villarreal

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
W D L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
St. Gallen

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  1
CF OS Belenenses

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Villarreal

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Flamengo

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
SC Braga

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Moreirense
W D W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

St. Gallen
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
2 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

28 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  1
Motherwell

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Dundee FC
D W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

21 Jul 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
4 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction

Players list

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

S. Soares

Defender

T. Araujo

C. Lenglet

A. Bah

Midfielder

E. Barrenechea

L. Barreiro

G. Sudakov

S. Dahl

Forward

G. Prestianni

V. Pavlidis

R. Silva

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Goalkeeper

B. Reus

Defender

C. Miller

S. Findlay

H. Milne

O. McEntee

Midfielder

L. Mendy

J. Altena

B. Spittal

Forward

C. Braga

P. Kabore

A. Kyziridis

Substitutes

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

A. Trubin

Defender

G. Queiroz

J. Neto

A. Dedic

Midfielder

M. Silva

A. Schjelderup

R. Rios

M. Figueiredo

Forward

J. Duran

A. Cabral

J. Kaminski

D. Lukebakio

Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Goalkeeper

R. Fulton

Z. Clark

Defender

M. Kamson-Kamara

M. Gillies

J. McCart

Midfielder

T. Renaud

T. Magnusson

J. McPake

Forward

A. Ba-Sy

J. Wilson

S. Kerjota

S. Guendouz

Benfica Lisbon - Heart Of Midlothian FC Key Points

  1. Six of Benfica’s last nine matches have produced over 3.5 goals.
  2. Benfica’s last three home competitive matches have seen four or more goals each time.
  3. Hearts have conceded at least two goals in their last six European games, including six in the two UCL qualifiers this season.
  4. Hearts have scored in five of their seven matches this season, including friendlies.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction

After a stunning run to the knockout phase of the 2025-26 UCL competition, Benfica will look to book their spot in the group phase of this year’s Europa League at least. The hosts have already laid their mark with a 5-0 thrashing of St Gallen at this venue in the previous round and will look to take a big lead into next week’s second leg.

Benfica are runaway favourites, so there’s no value in backing them for a win. It could be a high-scoring game, so our Benfica Lisbon vs Heart of Midlothian FC prediction is more than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Heart Of Midlothian FC

Benfica Lisbon vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Benfica Lisbon wins 1.21 4.2 +247.1%
Draw 5.9 26 +340.7%
Heart Of Midlothian FC wins 12.5 34 +172.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 247.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 82.6% and is now 23.8% (-58.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.