Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
A 0-0 draw in the first leg keeps both Benfica and Fenerbahce interested in qualifying for the league phase of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League play-off fixture. This second leg match will be played in Lisbon on Wednesday, and our prediction is that the Eagles and the Yellow Canaries are likely to deliver a game of under 2.5 goals.
With everything at stake, a single goal both could be sufficient to propel teams into the league phase of the competition. Benfica are looking for a fifth consecutive appearance in the league phase of the Champions League, while Fenerbahce are seeking a place in the top-tier competition for the first time since 2008.
Benfica have been strong with their defensive displays in recent times and will fancy their chances of swinging it past Fenerbahce. Jose Mourinho's visitors wouldn't want to settle for the Europa League for a second year running and will look to push the hosts all the way. Is there a tight game on offer with so much at stake for the winners? Read further for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Fenerbahce Istanbul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.25 | 5.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Fenerbahce Istanbul?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Fenerbahce Istanbul in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.35% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 1.63 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul is 17.89% with odds of 4.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 5.57 at 22bet.
Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Form
Benfica Lisbon and Fenerbahce Istanbul Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - Super Lig
9 May 2025 - Super Lig
26 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Aug 2018 - Champions League
7 Aug 2018 - Champions League
Benfica Lisbon - Fenerbahce Istanbul: Form Analysis
Benfica defeated Tondela 3-0 at home last weekend to extend their strong defensive record. This is their sixth consecutive clean sheet in all competitions, and with five wins in that sequence (W5, D1), the hosts will hope to make a strong push for league phase qualification.
The Eagles started their domestic campaign with five wins out of five, while winning over Nice in the third qualifying round of this competition gives them a great chance to push for a place in the league phase.
Benfica won four of their last eight previous games against Fenerbahce!
Fenerbahce followed up the first-leg draw with a 3-1 home win over Kocaelispor last weekend in the Super Lig. Interestingly, the Yellow Canaries haven't been able to push for wins and have just two victories from their five recent games in all competitions (W2, D2, L1).
They started with a 6-4 aggregate win over Feyenoord in the third qualifying round, although a 2-1 loss in the away leg of that tie casts doubts over their chances on this trip.
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Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Benfica Lisbon & Fenerbahce Istanbul Squad Analysis
Benfica shuffled their pack at the weekend but should be back to their first-choice playing XI. That said, Florentina Luis received two bookings in the first leg and is suspended for this fixture.
The hosts also have a few injuries to contend with, but their defense is likely to remain the same, led by Nicolas Otamendi. Their 4-3-3 formation will look for goals from Vangelis Pavlidis, who will lead the line at the top of their formation.
Pavlidis has seven goals in his last 11 matches in the Champions League!
These numbers are encouraging for the home fans to pin their hopes on a win in this leg to proceed to the league phase. Looking to halt their run, Fenerbahce will have to do that without a number of absentees.
Cenk Tosun, Rodrigo Becao, and Mert Hakan Yandas are all out of contention for the visitors. It could be interesting to see how they can get goals from the pair of Jhon Duran and Youssef En-Nesyri. The duo will lead their line in a 3-4-1-2 regular formation, with Talisca slotting in the hole behind them.
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Fenerbahce Istanbul
V. Pavlidis
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Aursnes
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Ivanovic
(1 Goals)
, 
G. Prestianni
(1 Goals)
Talisca
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Brown
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Skriniar
(1 Goals)
F. Aursnes
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Dedic
(1 Assists)
,
A. Schjelderup
(1 Assists)
C. Soyuncu
(1 Assists)
,
O. Aydin
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Duran
(1 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Fenerbahce Istanbul Key Points
- Benfica kept a clean sheet in their last six competitive matches.
- In six of their last eight matches in the Champions League, Benfica saw under 2.5 goals scored.
- Benfica won 2-0 against Nice in their only home Champions League fixture of this campaign.
- Fenerbahce failed to score in two of their last three competitive fixtures.
- Three of Benfica’s last four home competitive games saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction
The goalless first-leg result leaves everything to play for here, as the teams look to qualify for the league phase of the Champions League. Benfica are chasing a fifth consecutive group phase appearance in the competition, while Fenerbahce are looking for a place in the top-tier competition for the first time since 2008. Benfica's strong defensive credentials give them a chance to pull ahead of their visitors.
This match could once again be tight on goals, and that's why our Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul prediction is under 2.5.
Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul - Other Interesting Predictions
Vangelis Pavlidis to score anytime
Vangelis Pavlidis hasn't scored in any of the three qualifying games in the Champions League this season but had a great season in the competition last year. He scored seven goals in his final eight Champions League games of that season, four of which have come in home fixtures. This game could be his chance to find his scoring boots again.
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Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul match : Frequently asked questions
The Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul UEFA Champions League match is shown on Amazon Prime Video in the UK. The official broadcasters in Portugal are DAZN and Sport TV, while in Turkey it is TRT who have the official broadcasting rights.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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