Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica Lisbon will look to cut the seven-point gap at the top when they host Futebol SAD in Matchday 23 of the Liga Portugal. As Águias (The Eagles) are well poised to win this game at home, but with AVS battling relegation, this won't be an easy game. Stick around for our Benfica vs AVS match prediction.
This game will be tricky for Benfica as they'll travel back to Spain to face Real Madrid in the second leg of the UCL playoff, which they already trail by 1-0. This means Mourinho could bench several key players ahead of that game, potentially starting a weaker lineup than the one that beat AVS 3-0 earlier this season.
Still, even with rotations, Benfica are still the heavy favourites. As Águias are yet to lose a league game all season, and have now won seven of their last nine Liga Portugal games. At home, The Eagles are on a four-game winning streak, which is relevant as AVS also holds the worst away record in the league.
But interestingly, AVS just won its first game of the season on Matchday 21, shocking Estoril with a 3-0 win at home. Can those first three points spark enough confidence for an upset when they travel to Benfica? See key betting stats below.
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Benfica Lisbon v AVS Futebol SAD Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 9.4 | 23 |
|
|
1.05 | 13.5 | 32 |
|
|
1.05 | 13.5 | 32 |
|
|
1.08 | 9.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.08 | 9.4 | 20 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD match is: BTTS - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.39% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against AVS Futebol SAD with odds of 1.11 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD is 10.65% with odds of 13.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.96% chance ⭐ for a win of AVS Futebol SAD vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 32 at Melbet.
Benfica Lisbon - AVS Futebol SAD Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon AVS Futebol SAD Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 70.39% | 1.11 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.02% | |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 41.17% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Form
Benfica Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
18
|
21 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -40 |
Benfica Lisbon and AVS Futebol SAD Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal
23 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2023 - Portugal League Cup
Benfica Lisbon against AVS Futebol SAD Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Ferreira
DefenderT. Araujo
A. Dedic
MidfielderF. Ivanovic
D. Prioste
S. Dahl
L. Barreiro
ForwardA. Cabral
D. Lukebakio
Simao
DefenderG. Molina
R. Semedo
Kiki
A. Santos
T. Galletto
Nene
G. Neiva
O. Perea
Missing players
O. Kokcu
J. Veloso
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
AVS Futebol SAD
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
Nene
(4 Goals)
,
P. Barros
(4 Goals)
, 
Tomane
(4 Goals)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
T. Akinsola
(2 Assists)
,
R. Barbosa
(2 Assists)
, 
D. Rivas
(2 Assists)
,
P. Barros
(2 Assists)
,
G. Neiva
(2 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - AVS Futebol SAD Key Points
- Benfica has conceded the third-fewest goals (13).
- AVS has scored the third-fewest goals all season (18).
- Benfica has kept the joint second-most clean sheets (11).
- AVS has created the fewest big chances all season (33).
- At least one teen has kept a clean sheet in five of AVS’s last seven games.
- Benfica kept a clean sheet in its 3-0 win over AVS earlier this season.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction
We expect another clean sheet in this game, just like their earlier meeting. Notably, As Águias has kept a clean sheet in half of the games they've played this season and has conceded the third-fewest goals. And complementing that is the fact that AVS has one of the poorest offences this season, which has created the fewest big scoring chances in the league.
Benfica are the heavy favourites, but with such low odds on the home win and total goals markets, the sharper play is betting on one team to keep a clean sheet. Hence, our Benfica vs AVS prediction is BTTS - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon AVS Futebol SAD
| Benfica Lisbon vs AVS Futebol SAD | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.8% |
| Draw | 9.2 | 13.5 | +46.7% |
| AVS Futebol SAD wins | 24 | 32 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 91.7% and is now 90.1% (-1.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
