Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ASB Classic
ATP - ASB Classic
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Ben Shelton is set for another Auckland showdown with seventh seed Sebastian Baez. This quarter-final match will mark the second time they square off in this event, and below we have a prediction.
Shelton had a strong start to the week as he saw off Francisco Comesana in straight sets. The game was his first of the season, as he competes in Auckland for a third time.
In his debut appearance back in 2023, he defeated Baez in straight sets on his way to reaching the semi-finals. That finish remains his best in Parnell. Shelton has grown from strength to strength since debuting on the ATP.
Last year, he won 40 matches and ended the season ranked eighth in the world, qualifying for the ATP Finals for the first time.
Sebastian Baez is having an exciting start to the new year and will be eyeing an early upset against Shelton. The Argentine hasn’t lost any of the five matches he has contested.
He started the year representing his nation at the United Cup and helped guide his team to the quarter-finals by winning all three of his fixtures.
With this momentum, Baez started this week in commanding form and has won both of his matches with just one set lost. The world number 39 defeated Jenson Brooksby in straight sets in the last round, with the final set ending in a bagel.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Ben Shelton v Sebastian Baez Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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1.23 | 4.24 |
|
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1.21 | 4 |
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1.22 | 4 |
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1.23 | 4.24 |
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Who will win the Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez match is: Ben Shelton wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez game on 15/01/2026 of the current ASB Classic season:
- Ben Shelton has a 59.58% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
- Sebastian Baez has a 40.42% probability of winning facing Ben Shelton ⭐ with odds of 4.35 at Shangrila.
Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ben Shelton has a 59.58 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 59.58 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 40.42 % |
Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Form
Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
14 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
12 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
9 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
7 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
1 Jan 2026 - United Cup
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Ben Shelton - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Shelton won the only previous encounter with Baez.
- Baez has lost 18 of his previous 20 duels with top 10 players.
- Shelton has qualified for 10 tour semi-finals in the last two seasons.
- Baez has lost more than half of the 83 matches he contested on hard courts.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Shelton is competing this week as the top seed in Auckland and is heavily favored to win the tournament. He looked sharp in his first round tie and is also one of the top performers on tour on hard courts. Having defeated Baez in this very event in their only other encounter, the American looks primed for a win.
Baez has started the season in superb form and has his 100% record intact. He, however, has a poor record when competing against the ATP’s top players and has also often struggled on hard courts. Our prediction for Ben Shelton v Sebastian Baez is that Ben Shelton wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
