Germany - Bundesliga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayern Munich will continue with their title defence at home against Hamburg as the Bundesliga hits matchday three. The champions have taken an early lead, while promoted Hamburg sit just above the relegation region. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Bayern Munich held off Augsburg to win 3-2 away from home before the international break. The Bavarians seem to be carrying their same old problems in defence. Out of their opening four matches in all competitions, they have managed just one clean sheet.
However, they make up for that with a prolific attack. In the same four matches, they have scored 14 goals. This might look like a mismatch, facing a side with no goals in the season yet.
Hamburg have had it tough in the new season and are heading to a very tough venue seeking their first goal of the campaign. This match will mark the first meeting between these two sides since 2018, when Bayern beat Hamburg 6-0.
That was Hamburg’s fourth straight defeat to Bayern without scoring. They carry similar challenges here, having gone into the break after a 2-0 home loss against St. Pauli.
Hamburg had earlier drawn 0-0 with Borussia Monchengladbach. This season, Hamburg’s only win was through post-match penalties in the DFB Pokal, after a 1-1 draw with Pirmasens.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Hamburg Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.06 | 12 | 26 |
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1.07 | 12 | 29 |
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1.07 | 13 | 29 |
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1.07 | 12 | 26 |
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1.08 | 13 | 19 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Hamburg match is: Bayern Munich to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between Bayern Munich and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 81.52% for a win of Bayern Munich against Hamburg with odds of 1.08 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Hamburg is 6.29% with odds of 16 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Bayern Munich with odds of 38 at 22bet.
Bayern Munich vs Hamburg Form
Bayern Munich and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
15
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1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Bayern Munich and Hamburg Last Matches

6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - Super Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2025 - Telekom Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2025 - Telekom Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Aug 2025 - Super Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
28 Mar 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Bayern Munich vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Oct 2017 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Hamburg last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players

H. Ito
MidfielderJ. Musiala
A. Davies
T. Bischof

J. Dompe
B. Yalcinkaya
B. Jatta
Most goals and assists








Bayern Munich - Hamburg Key Points
- Hamburg haven't scored yet in the league.
- Bayern have posted four wins in four so far this season.
- Hamburg failed to score in their last four meetings with Bayern.
- Bayern Munich won their last eight matches against Hamburg.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Hamburg Prediction
Hamburg are one of the two sides yet to score in the league this season. They will aim to break that run here. While Bayern Munich aren’t the best pick defensively, they should be good enough to hold off a weak attacking team.
They haven't conceded against Hamburg in the last four meetings, and there is a strong chance they will keep a second clean sheet of the season here. Unless there’s a massive upset, we don’t see Hamburg improving on their poor start. Our prediction for Bayern Munich v Hamburg is for Bayern Munich to win with a clean sheet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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