Bayern Munich vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayern Munich will look to bounce back from the disappointment before the international break as they host Freiburg in matchday 11 of the Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday at the Allianz Arena between the league-leading Bavarians and the tenth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer comes with our prediction of more than 3.5 goals.
With 28 points from ten matches (W9, D1), Bayern are leading the table comfortably with a six-point lead over Leipzig. Freiburg’s 13 points (W3, D4, L3) put them equidistant from the relegation zone and the European qualification spots.
A surprise 2-2 away draw at Union Berlin halted the 100% winning start for Bayern going into the international break. They still have the best record in the division, and with an average of 3.5 goals scored, Bayern have a strong offensive unit.
It gets better at home, where Bayern have won all five Bundesliga home matches this season. That included winning four with a clean sheet, while scoring four goals on average per match in that sequence.
Freiburg won 2-1 at home against St. Pauli before the break, which made it three wins and a draw from four competitive matches. It was their first victory across six league games, though.
Their away form has been inconsistent, as Freiburg drew and lost two games each away from home, winning only once.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 8 | 13 |
|
|
1.19 | 8.2 | 16 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.1 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 14 |
|
|
1.19 | 8.2 | 15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs Freiburg match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Bayern Munich and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.82% for a win of Bayern Munich against Freiburg with odds of 1.23 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs Freiburg is 22.78% with odds of 8.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Bayern Munich with odds of 16 at Stake.
Bayern Munich - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 62.82% | 1.23 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.28% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 39.79% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
Bayern Munich vs Freiburg Form
Bayern Munich and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
47 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | +53 |
|
8
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
Bayern Munich and Freiburg Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
Bayern Munich vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2023 - DFB Pokal
Bayern Munich vs Freiburg last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Urbig
DefenderK. Min-jae
H. Ito
S. Boey
J. Kimmich
R. Guerreiro
MidfielderK. Laimer
N. Jackson
W. Mike
F. Muller
DefenderP. Lienhart
L. Kubler
C. Gunter
MidfielderP. Osterhage
V. Grifo
J. Adamu
E. Dinkci
I. Matanovic
Missing players
J. Musiala
D. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
Freiburg
H. Kane
(20 Goals)
V. Grifo
(6 Goals)
M. Olise
(10 Assists)
C. Gunter
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(2 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(2 Assists)
,
J. Beste
(2 Assists)
Bayern Munich - Freiburg Key Points
- Bayern’s Bundesliga matches this season averaged 4.10 goals per game.
- Bayern’s five home league games this season averaged 4.20 goals per game.
- In 11 of their last 16 matches in all competitions, Bayern saw over 3.5 goals scored.
- Five of Bayern’s seven home competitive matches this campaign saw four or more goals scored.
- Freiburg scored 2+ goals in three of their last four competitive matches.
- Two of Freiburg’s last three away matches saw exactly four goals scored each time.
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Our Bayern Munich vs Freiburg Prediction
The draw before the international break was a minor blip for Bayern Munich, who have otherwise won every competitive match this season. The Bavarians have nevertheless been in great scoring form, netting 35 goals in ten league matches this season. That rises to four goals per game when playing at home, so the fans will hope there’s a strong reply for the dropped points before the break.
Freiburg could feel the heat, although they have three wins from their last four competitive matches. Our Bayern Munich vs Freiburg prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayern Munich Freiburg
| Bayern Munich vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.14 | 1.23 | +7.9% |
| Draw | 10.6 | 8.2 | -22.6% |
| Freiburg wins | 21 | 16 | -23.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 81.3% (-6.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bayern Munich vs. Freiburg game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
