Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
It’s the quarter-final of the 2025-26 DFB Pokal, and two-time winners Bayer Leverkusen will face St Pauli, who are in their third quarter-final of the last five editions of this tournament. This match on Tuesday at BayArena between the ‘Black and Reds’ and the ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ comes with our prediction of a home win and both teams scoring goals.
Leverkusen won this title on two occasions, the last coming in the 2023-24 season. St Pauli are in their third quarter-final appearance in the last five editions but haven’t reached the semi-finals since 2005-06.
A 3-1 away win at Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend got Leverkusen closer to the top five teams in the Bundesliga. It was their third win in a row in all competitions, and they will hope to continue that sequence.
The hosts have defeated Dortmund in the last round of this competition, which gives them momentum. They have also won their last five games in the DFB Pokal when playing as hosts, adding to their status as favourites.
St Pauli lost 2-1 away at Augsburg at the weekend, extending their winless sequence to six games (D3, L3). Their problems have seen them struggle in the Bundesliga, remaining five points adrift of the safety zone.
The visitors have already knocked out Hoffenheim this season, but this match could be a step too far.
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Bayer Leverkusen v St. Pauli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.37 | 5 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.76 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.05 | 8.1 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.7 | 6.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli match is: Bayer Leverkusen wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/02/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.42% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against St. Pauli with odds of 1.46 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli is 27.47% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.11% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 8.5 at LSbet.
Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 51.42% | 1.46 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.31% | 1.65 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen | 20.91% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Form
Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
J. Omlin
DefenderArthur
L. Bade
E. Fernandez
J. Hofmann
A. Tape
ForwardC. Kofane
E. Poku
M. Culbreath
N. Vasilj
DefenderL. Ritzka
J. Robatsch
A. Dzwigala
M. Saliakas
R. Jones
J. Irvine
T. Hara
A. Ceesay
Missing players
M. Flekken
ForwardN. Tella
E. Ben Seghir
S. Spari
DefenderD. Nemeth
MidfielderC. Metcalfe
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
St. Pauli
A. Grimaldo
(2 Goals)
, 
P. Schick
(2 Goals)
, 
I. Maza
(2 Goals)
M. Kaars
(2 Goals)
E. Poku
(2 Assists)
E. Smith
(1 Assists)
,
M. Kaars
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Fujita
(1 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli Key Points
- Leverkusen conceded in five of their last seven competitive games.
- Leverkusen won four of their last five matches against St Pauli in all competitions.
- Eight of St Pauli’s last ten competitive matches produced goals from both teams.
- Six of St Pauli’s last eight competitive away games saw both teams score goals.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction
These sides have played once in the Bundesliga season when Leverkusen won 2-1. That is reflective of how their season has gone so far, with Leverkusen staying in European qualification contention, while St Pauli are stuck in the relegation battle. This match may well be a distraction for the visitors from their battle for Bundesliga safety. Having already knocked out two fellow Bundesliga sides in this season’s DFB Pokal, the visitors could be a threat.
This looks like a chance for Leverkusen to continue their impressive season, and our Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli prediction is Bayer Leverkusen wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen St. Pauli
| Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.4% |
| Draw | 4.7 | 5.2 | +10.6% |
| St. Pauli wins | 6.2 | 8.5 | +37.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 68.5% (-1.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
