Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Leipzig will look to continue their impressive form in the Bundesliga as they host a Bayer Leverkusen side looking to move into the top four places on matchday 32. This match in Leverkusen between the 6th-placed Factory XI and the 3rd-placed Red Bulls comes with our prediction of more than 3.5 goals.
Ahead of this matchday, Leverkusen’s 55 points (W16, D7, L8) put them two points behind the top four. Leipzig have 62 points (W19, D5, L7) and have a five-point lead over fourth and are five points behind second.
Leverkusen won 2-1 away at Koln last weekend to make it three wins from their last four Bundesliga matches (L1). While this run has been impressive, three consecutive draws immediately before this sequence has dampened their chances of moving into the top four.
Their home form hasn’t been dominating, as the Factory XI have just one win from their last four Bundesliga matches played here (D2, L1).
Leipzig won 3-1 at home against Union Berlin last weekend to continue their strong form. They have won five Bundesliga matches in a row, making them the red-hot side of the division.
Even their road form has been very impressive, as the Red Bulls have four wins from their last five away Bundesliga trips (L1), including two in a row.
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Bayer Leverkusen v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.22 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.15 | 4 | 2.96 |
|
|
2.15 | 4 | 2.96 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.9 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.95 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.17% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Leipzig with odds of 2.23 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig is 23.4% with odds of 4.11 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3.09 at 888Starz.
Bayer Leverkusen - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 43.43% | 3.09 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.54% | |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig | 19.05% | 7.75 at LSbet |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Blaswich
DefenderL. Bade
Arthur
M. Tillman
E. Fernandez
J. Hofmann
ForwardE. Poku
E. Ben Seghir
C. Kofane
P. Gulacsi
DefenderC. Lukeba
L. Klostermann
B. Henrichs
D. Raum
MidfielderB. Gruda
A. Ouedraogo
J. Bakayoko
C. Harder
Missing players
L. Vazquez
ForwardM. Terrier
L. Zingerle
MidfielderE. Banzuzi
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Leipzig
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Leipzig Key Points
- Leverkusen and Leipzig have averaged 2.0 goals per match each, this Bundesliga season.
- Leipzig have four wins from their last five away Bundesliga matches.
- Leipzig’s expected goals (xG) count of 63.6 is bettered only by Bayern Munich this season.
- The last five Bundesliga matches between Leverkusen and Leipzig produced four or more goals each time.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig Prediction
Leipzig are fairly comfortable in their push to finish in the top four, thanks to their impressive run. They have won five Bundesliga matches in a row coming here, which is their best run in nearly three years in the competition. Leverkusen have struggled for consistency in recent weeks but are looking to ride on their record of four wins out of the last six matches between these sides in the Bundesliga.
This match promises to be full of goals, and our Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Leipzig
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 2.06 | 2.23 | +8.3% |
| Draw | 4.22 | 4.11 | -2.6% |
| Leipzig wins | 3.41 | 3.09 | -9.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.3% and is now 32.4% (3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
