Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
Bayern Munich will hope to continue their winning momentum as they face Bayer Leverkusen in the semi-finals of the 2025-26 DFB Pokal. This match on Wednesday at the BayArena between the two-time champions ‘Factory XI’ and the record 30-time winners ‘Bavarians’ comes with our prediction of less than 3.5 goals. The winner of this tie will go on to play the winner of Stuttgart vs Freiburg in the final.
The Bavarians had a euphoric weekend when their 4-2 win over Stuttgart, combined with favourable results elsewhere, helped win a record 35th German top-flight championship. The UEFA Champions League semi-finals are also on the horizon, but Bayern are unlikely to take their foot off the pedal here.
Leverkusen had a disappointing weekend but should quickly focus on the task at hand. With this being their only chance of silverware this season, Leverkusen will hope to dump the tournament favourite out of the competition. Will they be able to keep Bayern at bay? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.9 | 5 | 1.58 |
|
|
4.94 | 4.9 | 1.54 |
|
|
4.84 | 4.8 | 1.57 |
|
|
5 | 4.75 | 1.55 |
|
|
5 | 4.9 | 1.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/04/2026 between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.12% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Bayern Munich with odds of 5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich is 36.33% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 1.6 at Roobet.
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 51.55% | 1.6 at Roobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.25% | |
| Both Team To Score | 71.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 19.79% | 2.3 at LSbet |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Leverkusen were beaten 2-1 by Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday. That result has put a cloud of uncertainty over their chances of finishing in the top four. That defeat was just their second in their last eight competitive games, but four draws (D4, L2) in that sequence are a concern.
The ‘Factory XI’ defeated St Pauli 3-0 in the previous round of the DFB Pokal competition, their third clean sheet of this campaign in four matches. They will have to navigate through an indifferent form at home, winning just one of their last six matches (W1, D4).
Leverkusen won their last six home games in the DFB Pokal.
Bayern won 4-2 at home against Augsburg on Sunday to win the Bundesliga title. That was their seventh victory in a row in all competitions, and the Bavarians are unbeaten in 17 competitive games (W15, D2) since their last defeat in the last week of January.
In their last round of this competition, Bayern defeated Leipzig 2-0. That was their third win in a row against Bundesliga competitors in this year’s DFB Pokal.
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Bayer Leverkusen against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Blaswich
DefenderL. Bade
T. Oermann
MidfielderM. Tillman
E. Fernandez
J. Hofmann
ForwardE. Poku
M. Culbreath
E. Ben Seghir
J. Urbig
DefenderH. Ito
K. Min-jae
R. Guerreiro
D. Ofli
A. Davies
B. Sapoko Ndiaye
L. Goretzka
N. Jackson
Missing players
Arthur
ForwardM. Terrier
S. Ulreich
MidfielderT. Bischof
D. Daiber
L. Karl
Bayer Leverkusen & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Leverkusen have a couple of squad injuries to deal with ahead of this match. Arthur is out with an ankle injury, while Martin Terrier is also injured and has been ruled out of this contest. Thankfully for the hosts, those remain their injury absences.
The Factory XI have generally used the 3-4-3 system in their games, while only minor deviations were used. That would leave Patrik Schick manning the forward line, starting slightly ahead of the other two in the attacking third.
Schick has four goals in his last four club games.
Bayern’s list of injuries had a new addition, with Serge Gnabry missing out on their last two games. Tom Bischof is another absent player, with the midfielder sidelined in their win against Stuttgart.
The visitors are quite likely to stick with their 4-2-3-1 system with the irresistible Harry Kane up front. Their strongest selection will feature Luis Diaz on the left and Michael Olise as the wingers.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
A. Grimaldo
(2 Goals)
, 
P. Schick
(2 Goals)
, 
I. Maza
(2 Goals)
H. Kane
(10 Goals)
E. Poku
(2 Assists)
M. Olise
(3 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Five of Leverkusen’s last seen competitive games produced under 3.5 goals.
- In eight of Leverkusen’s last ten home matches in all competitions, fewer than four goals have been scored.
- Two of Bayern’s last four away competitive matches have seen three or fewer goals scored.
- The last eight competitive matches between these sides saw three or fewer goals scored.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern Munich had a great weekend, as they were crowned German top-flight champions for a 35th time. That shouldn’t be taken as a cue that the focus will drop, because Bayern are in the last four in the Champions League as well as the DFB Pokal. Leverkusen had a weekend to forget, as their loss in the Bundesliga hurt their chances of a top-four finish.
This fixture has historically produced tight encounters, and this could add to that count. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Alternative Predictions
Bayern Munich wins
To say that Bayern Munich have form is an understatement. The Bavarians come here on the back of seven consecutive wins in all competitions. Going further back, their 2-1 loss to Augsburg in January was the lone time they were beaten in all competitions. The visitors could come up with another win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 5.2 | +20.1% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.62 | 1.6 | -1.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 62.5% (0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
