Barrow vs Newport County Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two
England - League Two
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
Barrow and Newport County will face off on the final day of the 2025-26 EFL League Two season at Holker Street on Saturday. The Bluebirds are bottom of the table, while the Exiles are in 21st place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
It’s likely to be a sad day at Holker Street. Barrow enter the final matchday needing a victory, losses to Crawley and Horrogate, and a massive swing in goal difference to stay in the division.
The Bluebirds suffered a 3-0 defeat to Cambridge last week and have now lost four of their last five matches. They conceded two or more goals in four of those games and failed to score in three.
The hosts have earned just 19 points from their 22 home games this season and have scored a league-low 17 goals at home. However, they have won four of their last five against this opponent at this venue.
Meanwhile, with 40 points, Newport County could still go down this season. They are only a point above Harrogate and Crawley and have a better goal difference of just six and two, respectively.
The Exiles got out of the bottom two in recent weeks, thanks to victories over the Sulphurites and Oldham (3-2 last week). However, they have not won back-to-back league games this season.
The visitors are on a three-match losing streak on the road and have taken just 18 points from their 23 away matches this term (W5 D3 L14).
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Barrow v Newport County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.95 | 3.25 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.99 | 3.28 | 2.31 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.3 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.25 | 2.34 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barrow and Newport County?
Our prediction for the Barrow vs Newport County match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Barrow and Newport County in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.27% for a win of Barrow against Newport County with odds of 2.99 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barrow vs Newport County is 20.08% with odds of 3.4 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Newport County vs Barrow with odds of 2.45 at Melbet.
Barrow - Newport County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barrow Newport County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newport County wins | 41.65% | 2.45 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.78% | 2.11 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newport County | 19.13% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Barrow vs Newport County Form
Barrow and Newport County's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
43 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | -29 |
|
24
|
36 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | -33 |
Barrow and Newport County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
14 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
14 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
28 Mar 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
10 Mar 2026 - League Two
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
21 Mar 2026 - League Two
17 Mar 2026 - League Two
6 Mar 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
28 Mar 2026 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League Two
11 Apr 2026 - League Two
3 Apr 2026 - League Two
28 Mar 2026 - League Two
17 Mar 2026 - League Two
7 Mar 2026 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - League Two
6 Apr 2026 - League Two
21 Mar 2026 - League Two
14 Mar 2026 - League Two
28 Feb 2026 - League Two
17 Feb 2026 - League Two
Barrow vs Newport County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
21 Sept 2024 - League Two
23 Mar 2024 - League Two
Players list
K. Barrett
DefenderA. MacDonald
C. Raglan
MidfielderS. Smith
B. Jackson
J. Williams
ForwardC. McCann
K. Hemmings
D. Rose
J. Gordon
R. Harper
J. Wright
DefenderM. Baker
C. Evans
C. Brennan
MidfielderB. Lloyd
J. Thomas
H. Biggins
S. Sprangler
ForwardB. Kamwa
J. Crole
C. Jarvis
Substitutes
J. Anderson
MidfielderS. Foley
I. Fletcher
B. Whitfield
ForwardJ. Malcolm
E. Newby
S. MacDonald
DefenderR. Delaney
T. Davies
L. Shephard
MidfielderM. Smith
ForwardM. Spellman
Most goals and assists
Barrow
Newport County
J. Gordon
(9 Goals)
N. Opoku
(6 Goals)
Barrow - Newport County Key Points
- Four of Barrow’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Barrow have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight home games.
- Both these sides are averaging 1.7 goals conceded per game this season.
- Three of Newport County’s last four league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Newport County have only kept one clean sheet in their last 15 away league matches.
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Our Barrow vs Newport County Prediction
Barrow needs a bit of a miracle to maintain their League Two status. With the relegation scrap set to go down to the wire, they will need to throw caution to the wind and hope to secure a big result here.
For the visitors, only a victory will guarantee their survival. Indeed, a draw (or even a loss) could still see them stay up, but the Exiles will want to take all three points here to avoid the scramble. Given the importance of the three points, we’re expecting both teams to go all out for the win in this one. Therefore, our Barrow vs Newport County prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barrow Newport County
| Barrow vs Newport County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow wins | 2.39 | 2.99 | +25.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Newport County wins | 2.73 | 2.45 | -10.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newport County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.6% and is now 40.8% (4.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Barrow vs. Newport County game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
