Barnsley vs Northampton Town Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Tuesday night sees action from League One as Barnsley host Northampton Town with just seven points separating the two teams in the table. The Tykes do have a significant number of games in hand on their rivals, including the visiting Cobblers, so their current league position is a little unreflective of their performances this season. Our prediction for this match is outlined below.
Currently, Barnsley occupy 15th spot in the League One table, but they have played just 25 league games, three or four fewer than most of their rivals, and have taken 36 points. Northampton have taken 29 points from their 28 games played so far and the Cobblers sit just one place above bottom spot in 23rd.
Barnsley's recent form has been relatively solid, which will please manager Conor Hourihane. Since losing to Liverpool in the FA Cup, Barnsley beat Blackpool 2-1 at home, before drawing 2-2 at Barnsley. They were well beaten last midweek 4-0 at Cardiff City but at the weekend, bounced back to beat Stevenage 3-1 at home.
Kevin Nolan's Northampton have not won any of their last eight League Two matches. That run includes four successive defeats, 2-1 at home to Wycombe, 2-0 away to Blackpool, 2-1 away to Rotherham and then at the weekend, they went down to a 2-0 defeat at home to Reading.
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Barnsley v Northampton Town Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.76 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.77 | 4.41 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.74 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.7 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Barnsley and Northampton Town?
Our prediction for the Barnsley vs Northampton Town match is: Barnsley wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/02/2026 between Barnsley and Northampton Town in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.31% for a win of Barnsley against Northampton Town with odds of 1.78 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barnsley vs Northampton Town is 18.4% with odds of 3.77 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Northampton Town vs Barnsley with odds of 4.7 at LSbet.
Barnsley - Northampton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barnsley Northampton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley wins | 62.31% | 1.78 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.23% | 1.97 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Barnsley/Barnsley | 36.14% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Barnsley vs Northampton Town Form
Barnsley and Northampton Town's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
59 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | -5 |
|
24
|
35 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | -35 |
Barnsley and Northampton Town Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - League One
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
22 Nov 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - League One
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
14 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
4 Jan 2026 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - League One
17 Jan 2026 - League One
14 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
1 Jan 2026 - League One
19 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - League One
24 Jan 2026 - League One
4 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
Barnsley vs Northampton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2025 - League One
24 Aug 2024 - League One
27 Apr 2024 - League One
Players list
O. Goodman
DefenderJ. Shepherd
E. O'Connell
C. O'Keeffe
T. Watson
MidfielderJ. Bland
V. Yoganathan
P. Kelly
S. Banks
ForwardD. McGoldrick
R. Cleary
R. Fitzsimons
DefenderN. Guinness-Walker
M. Dyche
M. Forbes
J. Wormleighton
J. Willis
MidfielderT. Taylor
C. McGeehan
D. Campbell
ForwardS. Hoskins
J. Vale
Substitutes
K. Flavell
DefenderM. Durand de Gevigney
M. Roberts
N. Ogbeta
T. Chirewa
A. Phillips
L. Farrell
L. Burge
DefenderC. McCarthy
T. Fornah
K. Swyer
E. List
J. Perkins
ForwardT. Eaves
Most goals and assists
Barnsley
Northampton Town
D. McGoldrick
(15 Goals)
T. Eaves
(8 Goals)
Barnsley - Northampton Town Key Points
- Barnsley have lost just one of their last five League One matches (W2, D2).
- Northampton have lost all their last four games and have not won any of their last eight League One matches.
- Northampton have not won any of their last six away games (L5, D1).
- Barnsley were 2-1 winners when the two teams met earlier this season.
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Our Barnsley vs Northampton Town Prediction
Our prediction for the Barnsley vs. Northampton Town League One match is: Barnsley wins.
Barnsley's current league position is somewhat misleading, given their games in hand on other teams. Northampton's however emphasises the problems the Cobblers have had this season and their recent form, and their away form, means that this looks likely to be a tough task to get anything from this game. As such, we are confident that the home town Tykes will earn the three points from this game.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barnsley Northampton Town
| Barnsley vs Northampton Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley wins | 1.91 | 1.78 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.77 | +7.7% |
| Northampton Town wins | 3.85 | 4.7 | +22.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barnsley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 56.2% (3.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
