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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Azerbaijan and Ukraine will target their first points of the FIFA World Cup campaign in a UEFA Group D fixture on Tuesday at the Tofiz Bahramov Stadium in Baku. This match between the bottom two teams of the group comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals to be scored.
The hosts lost 5-0 to Iceland, while the visitors were beaten 2-0 by France in their respective first matches of this campaign. It would be a first World Cup finals appearance for the Azerbaijani side, while the Ukrainians are targeting a first appearance since 2006.
The 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Iceland on Friday summarized Azerbaijan’s struggles as it extended their winless run to 11 matches (D2, L9). Six of those nine defeats have seen them concede at least three goals, so the hosts have a lot to improve defensively.
Having lost seven of their last eight home World Cup qualifiers and winning only one, Azerbaijan have their task cut out in this fixture.
Ukraine lost 2-0 to France in their opening fixture, but that was no disgrace against a better team. They can’t risk another loss, though, as the gap to the top two teams could widen beyond three points.
It’s their defensive concerns that will take center stage, as Ukraine have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Azerbaijan v Ukraine Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.1 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
|
|
6.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Azerbaijan and Ukraine?
Our prediction for the Azerbaijan vs Ukraine match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Azerbaijan and Ukraine in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.04% for a win of Azerbaijan against Ukraine with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Azerbaijan vs Ukraine is 19.83% with odds of 4.41 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Ukraine vs Azerbaijan with odds of 1.59 at 22bet.
Azerbaijan vs Ukraine Form
Azerbaijan and Ukraine's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
Azerbaijan and Ukraine Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan vs Ukraine last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Azerbaijan - Ukraine Key Points
- Six of Azerbaijan’s last nine matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- In five of Ukraine’s last six fixtures, there have been at least three goals scored.
- Five of Azerbaijan’s last seven home games have returned at least three goals.
- Ukraine’s last four away games have produced three or more goals.
- Ukraine won 6-0 when these sides last met, but that was way back in 2006.
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Our Azerbaijan vs Ukraine Prediction
Both Azerbaijan and Ukraine come into this fixture with the need to improve as they chase their first points of the campaign. The qualification is just into the second round, but Azerbaijan are showing signs of defensive strain. Ukraine’s recent performances are mixed, but their form is still better than Azerbaijan’s, and they will look to get their first win of the qualification campaign.
Irrespective of the result, goals could flow in this contest, and that’s why our Azerbaijan vs Ukraine prediction is over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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