AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - KNVB beker
Netherlands - KNVB beker
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
The moment of truth is finally here. AZ Alkmaar takes on NEC Nijmegen in the cup final for the KNVB beker title. Nijmegen beat Alkmaar in both regular-season encounters this season. Can NEC do the tripe over De Kaasboeren (The Cheese Farmers) to take the crown? Find out in our match prediction below.
If this is a dream season for Nijmegen, then it has been one very long one. NEC now not only stand a chance to win the KNVB beker title, but can even qualify for the Champions League next season, if they usurp Feyenoord in 2nd, who only pass Nijmegen with a single point. And it should be no surprise, given how the visitors have been playing.
NEC enters this game unbeaten in six matches, of which they won four. The latest was a statement 1-1 draw against the same Feyenoord they’re trying to displace. With that string of performance, it’s easy to see Nijmegen getting a third over Alkmaar.
However, The Cheese Farmers are hunting for redemption through glory after just exiting the quarterfinal of the UEFA Conference League to Shakhtar. It ended in a 2-2 draw, but the 3-0 defeat in the first leg already sealed the deal. Alkmaar has still impressed in recent games, as they’ve bagged five wins in their last eight games.
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AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.48 | 3.6 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.64 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.64 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.7 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.6 | 2.58 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen in KNVB beker :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.86% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen is 25.87% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.27% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.7 at LSbet.
AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Prediction and Best Odds:
| AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 38.86% | 2.57 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.53% | 1.65 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar | 16.38% | 4 at Bet365 |
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Form
AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
28 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar against NEC Nijmegen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Zoet
H. Verhulst
DefenderS. Maikuma
D. Kasius
B. van Duijl
R. Ichihara
M. Chavez
MidfielderI. Jensen
K. Boogaard
ForwardB. Kovacs
M. Meerdink
W. Patati
A. Oufkir
G. Cretazz
DefenderT. Ouwejan
A. Kaplan
B. Nuytinck
B. Pereira
J. Willems
MidfielderW. Willumsson
D. Proper
ForwardDanilo
Y. El Kachati
K. Ogawa
Vura
Missing players
J. Hornkamp
AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen Key Points
- Both encounters between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen this season ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in their last three encounters.
- In Nijmegen’s last 22 games, both teams have scored in 19 matches.
- In the league, NEC has scored the second-most goals this season (72), netting 2.4 goals per game.
- Interestingly, NEC also allows a notable number of goals, conceding the 10th-most (3 more than Alkmaar).
- AZ has also netted the 6th-most goals in the local league this season (52).
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
This game has goals, and a lot of them, written on it. We anticipate a fair exchange that will see both teams score just as in their only two meetings this season. NEC is a major factor in this prediction as they bring the volume in both goals scored and conceded.
Both teams scoring in 19 of their last 22 games should tell you just how goals-friendly Nijmegen’s style of play is for both teams. Hence, our AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen
| AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 2.25 | 2.57 | +14.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| NEC Nijmegen wins | 3.05 | 2.7 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 38.9% (-5.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
